Football · Thailand Premier League · 11/10, 13:00
Prediction: Prachuap FC vs Chiangrai Utd
Team pages: Prachuap FC · Chiangrai Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Prachuap FC1.37
Chiangrai Utd0.74
1X2
Prachuap FC
Draw
Chiangrai Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Prachuap FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Chiangrai Utd
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Prachuap FC
3–1–2
Chiangrai Utd
(6 last)
- Chiangrai Utd0-1Prachuap FC
- Prachuap FC3-2Chiangrai Utd
- Chiangrai Utd2-1Prachuap FC
- Chiangrai Utd1-0Prachuap FC
- Prachuap FC2-0Chiangrai Utd
- Chiangrai Utd1-1Prachuap FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Prachuap FC 1567 · Chiangrai Utd 1488
| Prachuap FC | Draw | Chiangrai Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 30% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Prachuap FC (rating 1567 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Prachuap FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Prachuap FC | Chiangrai Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Prachuap FC 3–1–2 Chiangrai Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/26 Thailand Cup | Chiangrai Utd | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Prachuap FC |
| 10/01/26 Thailand Premier League | Prachuap FC | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Chiangrai Utd |
| 23/08/25 Thailand Premier League | Chiangrai Utd | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Prachuap FC |
| 26/02/25 Thailand League Cup | Chiangrai Utd | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Prachuap FC |
| 26/01/25 Thailand Premier League | Prachuap FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chiangrai Utd |
| 31/08/24 Thailand Premier League | Chiangrai Utd | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Prachuap FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rayong FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Uthai Thani FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Prachuap FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bangkok United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Port FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | BG Pathum United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ratchaburi FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sukhothai FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasi Salai United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Prachuap FC | Chiangrai Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Sukhothai FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Uthai Thani FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Chonburi | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Port FC | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Bangkok United | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Lamphun Warrior FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Prachuap FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Prachuap FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Pattani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 14/03 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
Chiangrai Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Sisaket United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 05/04 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Prachuap FC vs Chiangrai Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Prachuap FC win (52%). Probabilities: Prachuap FC 52%, draw 28%, Chiangrai Utd 20%.
How many goals are expected in Prachuap FC vs Chiangrai Utd?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Prachuap FC 1.37 · Chiangrai Utd 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Prachuap FC vs Chiangrai Utd?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.