Football · Thailand Premier League · 17/10, 14:00
Prediction: Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani FC
Team pages: Rayong FC · Uthai Thani FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Rayong FC1.41
Uthai Thani FC1.47
1X2
Rayong FC
Draw
Uthai Thani FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Rayong FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Uthai Thani FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rayong FC
2–4
Uthai Thani FC
(6 last)
- Uthai Thani FC4-1Rayong FC
- Rayong FC2-1Uthai Thani FC
- Rayong FC2-3Uthai Thani FC
- Uthai Thani FC3-1Rayong FC
- Uthai Thani FC1-0Rayong FC
- Rayong FC1-0Uthai Thani FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rayong FC 1484 · Uthai Thani FC 1507
| Rayong FC | Draw | Uthai Thani FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Uthai Thani FC: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rayong FC | Uthai Thani FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rayong FC 2–0–4 Uthai Thani FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Thailand Premier League | Uthai Thani FC | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Rayong FC |
| 27/09/25 Thailand Premier League | Rayong FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Uthai Thani FC |
| 01/02/25 Thailand Premier League | Rayong FC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Uthai Thani FC |
| 15/09/24 Thailand Premier League | Uthai Thani FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Rayong FC |
| 05/02/23 Thailand Division 2 | Uthai Thani FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rayong FC |
| 18/09/22 Thailand Division 2 | Rayong FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Uthai Thani FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Bangkok United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Prachuap FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Port FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Ratchaburi FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Chiangrai Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Pattani FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Sukhothai FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasi Salai United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rayong FC | Uthai Thani FC |
|---|---|---|
| Prachuap FC | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Bangkok United | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Lamphun Warrior FC | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rayong FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
Uthai Thani FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Rasi Salai United Thailand Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Pattani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Uthai Thani FC win (38%). Probabilities: Rayong FC 36%, draw 27%, Uthai Thani FC 38%.
How many goals are expected in Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani FC?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Rayong FC 1.41 · Uthai Thani FC 1.47), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.