Football · Thailand Premier League · 17/10, 13:30
Prediction: Chonburi vs Prachuap FC
Team pages: Chonburi · Prachuap FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Chonburi1.25
Prachuap FC1.25
1X2
Chonburi
Draw
Prachuap FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chonburi
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Prachuap FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chonburi
1–2–3
Prachuap FC
(6 last)
- Prachuap FC2-0Chonburi
- Chonburi1-1Prachuap FC
- Chonburi2-1Prachuap FC
- Chonburi1-1Prachuap FC
- Prachuap FC3-1Chonburi
- Prachuap FC3-1Chonburi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chonburi 1449 · Prachuap FC 1557
| Chonburi | Draw | Prachuap FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Prachuap FC (rating 1449 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Prachuap FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chonburi | Prachuap FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chonburi 1–2–3 Prachuap FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Thailand Premier League | Prachuap FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chonburi |
| 27/09/25 Thailand Premier League | Chonburi | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Prachuap FC |
| 20/11/24 Thailand Cup | Chonburi | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Prachuap FC |
| 12/05/24 Thailand Premier League | Chonburi | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Prachuap FC |
| 15/12/23 Thailand Premier League | Prachuap FC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Chonburi |
| 11/02/23 Thailand Premier League | Prachuap FC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Chonburi |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Bangkok United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Prachuap FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Port FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Ratchaburi FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Chiangrai Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Pattani FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Sukhothai FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasi Salai United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chonburi | Prachuap FC |
|---|---|---|
| Rayong FC | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Chiangrai Utd | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Sukhothai FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chonburi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sisaket United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/03 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Prachuap FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Pattani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chonburi vs Prachuap FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chonburi win (36%). Probabilities: Chonburi 36%, draw 29%, Prachuap FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Chonburi vs Prachuap FC?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Chonburi 1.25 · Prachuap FC 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chonburi vs Prachuap FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.