Football · Thailand Premier League · 11/10, 13:00
Prediction: Lamphun Warrior FC vs Bangkok United
Team pages: Lamphun Warrior FC · Bangkok United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Lamphun Warrior FC1.01
Bangkok United1.63
1X2
Lamphun Warrior FC
Draw
Bangkok United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Lamphun Warrior FC
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Bangkok United
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lamphun Warrior FC
0–3–3
Bangkok United
(6 last)
- Lamphun Warrior FC1-1Bangkok United
- Lamphun Warrior FC1-1Bangkok United
- Bangkok United4-3Lamphun Warrior FC
- Lamphun Warrior FC0-1Bangkok United
- Bangkok United3-2Lamphun Warrior FC
- Bangkok United2-2Lamphun Warrior FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lamphun Warrior FC 1454 · Bangkok United 1497
| Lamphun Warrior FC | Draw | Bangkok United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 27% | 51% |
| Market | 23% | 26% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bangkok United (rating 1454 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Bangkok United: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lamphun Warrior FC | Bangkok United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.4 | 2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lamphun Warrior FC 0–3–3 Bangkok United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Thailand Premier League | Lamphun Warrior FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Bangkok United |
| 25/02/26 Thailand Cup | Lamphun Warrior FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bangkok United |
| 26/10/25 Thailand Premier League | Bangkok United | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Lamphun Warrior FC |
| 25/01/25 Thailand Premier League | Lamphun Warrior FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bangkok United |
| 01/09/24 Thailand Premier League | Bangkok United | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Lamphun Warrior FC |
| 18/04/24 Thailand Premier League | Bangkok United | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Lamphun Warrior FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rayong FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Uthai Thani FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Prachuap FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bangkok United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Port FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | BG Pathum United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ratchaburi FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sukhothai FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasi Salai United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lamphun Warrior FC | Bangkok United |
|---|---|---|
| Uthai Thani FC | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Chiangrai Utd | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Rayong FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Ratchaburi FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Ayutthaya United | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bangkok United (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lamphun Warrior FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Rasi Salai United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 11/09 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 14/03 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Bangkok United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Sisaket United Thailand Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lamphun Warrior FC vs Bangkok United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bangkok United win (51%). Probabilities: Lamphun Warrior FC 23%, draw 26%, Bangkok United 51%.
How many goals are expected in Lamphun Warrior FC vs Bangkok United?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Lamphun Warrior FC 1.01 · Bangkok United 1.63), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lamphun Warrior FC vs Bangkok United?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.