Football · Croatia 2.NL · 10/10, 15:30

Prediction: NK Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar

Team pages: NK Dugo Selo · Bjelovar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

NK Dugo Selo1.45

Bjelovar1.22

1X2

42% 27% 31%

NK Dugo Selo Draw Bjelovar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Dugo Selo 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLLWWW

Bjelovar 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWWWDD

Head-to-head

NK Dugo Selo 2–4 Bjelovar (6 last)

Bjelovar3-0NK Dugo Selo
NK Dugo Selo0-2Bjelovar
Bjelovar3-2NK Dugo Selo
NK Dugo Selo2-5Bjelovar
NK Dugo Selo2-0Bjelovar
Bjelovar1-5NK Dugo Selo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Dugo Selo 1546 · Bjelovar 1540

	NK Dugo Selo	Draw	Bjelovar
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	43%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bjelovar: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Dugo Selo	Bjelovar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.6	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:42 +3’	2.10	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Dugo Selo 2–0–4 Bjelovar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Croatia 2.NL	Bjelovar	3-0 HT 2-0	NK Dugo Selo
25/10/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Dugo Selo	0-2 HT 0-1	Bjelovar
01/03/25 Croatia 2.NL	Bjelovar	3-2 HT 1-1	NK Dugo Selo
31/08/24 Croatia 2.NL	NK Dugo Selo	2-5 HT 1-1	Bjelovar
20/04/24 Croatia 2.NL	NK Dugo Selo	2-0 HT 0-0	Bjelovar
14/10/23 Croatia 2.NL	Bjelovar	1-5 HT 1-3	NK Dugo Selo

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bjelovar	7	4	2	1	16	9	14
2	NK Trnje	7	4	1	2	12	7	13
3	NK Dugo Selo	7	4	1	2	11	6	13
4	NK Uskok	6	4	0	2	14	7	12
5	NK Solin	7	3	2	2	11	9	11
6	NK Uljanik	7	3	2	2	14	15	11
7	NK Jarun	6	2	4	0	14	10	10
8	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	7	3	1	3	9	9	10
9	NK Krizevci	7	3	1	3	10	11	10
10	NK Zagora	7	2	3	2	17	16	9
11	NK Slavonija Pozega	7	2	2	3	13	13	8
12	NK Inker Zapresic	7	2	2	3	9	11	8
13	NK Grobnican	7	2	1	4	9	17	7
14	NK Lucko	7	1	2	4	7	10	5
15	NK Koprivnica	7	1	2	4	9	17	5
16	Varteks Varazdin	7	1	2	4	5	13	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Dugo Selo	Bjelovar
NK Inker Zapresic	3-0 W	0-0 D
Varteks Varazdin	1-2 L	1-1 D
NK Uskok	1-0 W	3-2 W
NK Solin	1-1 D	1-1 D
NK Trnje	1-0 W	0-2 L
NK Grobnican	2-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Dugo Selo

WWWDWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/09	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-0	3-0	2	3	W
18/09	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
12/09	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	–	1-2	0	0	L
04/09	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	9	5	L
29/08	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
22/08	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
30/05	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
23/05	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	–	2-0	–	–	W
16/05	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	8	4	W

Bjelovar

LDLWLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
26/09	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
19/09	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	1-1	3-2	9	4	W
12/09	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	1-0	4-0	6	5	W
05/09	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	2-1	4-1	5	3	W
28/08	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
22/08	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	1-0	4-3	2	3	W
30/05	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
23/05	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
15/05	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-2	2	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Dugo Selo win (42%). Probabilities: NK Dugo Selo 42%, draw 27%, Bjelovar 31%.

How many goals are expected in NK Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar?

The model expects 2.66 goals (NK Dugo Selo 1.45 · Bjelovar 1.22), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.