Football · Croatia 2.NL · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Varteks Varazdin vs NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Team pages: Varteks Varazdin · NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Varteks Varazdin1.17

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac1.22

1X2

35% 28% 37%

Varteks Varazdin Draw NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Varteks Varazdin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLDDL

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWWLWL

Head-to-head

Varteks Varazdin 1–1–0 NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac (2 last)

Varteks Varazdin0-0NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac1-3Varteks Varazdin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Varteks Varazdin 1465 · NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1457

	Varteks Varazdin	Draw	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Our model	34%	30%	36%
Market	35%	27%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Varteks Varazdin	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.7	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/43/43%	44/11/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.3	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.40

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:03 +8’	2.20	3.40	2.75
05:51 +17’	2.55▲	3.40	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Varteks Varazdin 1–1–0 NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Croatia 2.NL	Varteks Varazdin	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
24/10/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1-3 HT 1-2	Varteks Varazdin

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Dugo Selo	8	5	1	2	14	7	16
2	NK Uskok	7	5	0	2	18	7	15
3	Bjelovar	8	4	2	2	17	12	14
4	NK Uljanik	9	4	2	3	17	18	14
5	NK Jarun	7	3	4	0	15	10	13
6	NK Trnje	8	4	1	3	13	9	13
7	NK Solin	8	3	3	2	12	10	12
8	NK Inker Zapresic	8	3	2	3	11	12	11
9	NK Grobnican	9	3	2	4	12	18	11
10	NK Zagora	8	2	4	2	19	18	10
11	NK Krizevci	8	3	1	4	11	14	10
12	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	8	3	1	4	9	13	10
13	NK Slavonija Pozega	8	2	3	3	15	15	9
14	NK Lucko	8	2	2	4	9	11	8
15	NK Koprivnica	8	1	2	5	10	19	5
16	Varteks Varazdin	8	1	2	5	5	14	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Varteks Varazdin	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Bjelovar	1-1 D	2-0 W
NK Uskok	1-4 L	0-4 L
NK Krizevci	0-3 L	0-1 L
HNK Segesta	2-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Varteks Varazdin

LWLLLWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-1	13	4	L
03/10	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
19/09	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
12/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	–	2-1	0	0	W
05/09	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
22/08	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	0	7	L
30/05	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	1-1	2-3	1	4	L
23/05	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	–	2-0	–	–	W
16/05	NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL	–	0-1	–	–	L

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

LWLLDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-2	0-4	4	2	L
03/10	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	3-0	4-1	2	5	W
25/09	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/09	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
12/09	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	3	9	W
05/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
21/08	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	1-2	2-3	11	4	L
30/05	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Varteks Varazdin vs NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac win (37%). Probabilities: Varteks Varazdin 35%, draw 28%, NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 37%.

How many goals are expected in Varteks Varazdin vs NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Varteks Varazdin 1.17 · NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1.22), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Varteks Varazdin vs NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.