Football · Croatia 2.NL · 16/10, 15:00

Prediction: NK Grobnican vs NK Uljanik

Team pages: NK Grobnican · NK Uljanik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

NK Grobnican1.58

NK Uljanik2.13

1X2

27% 23% 49%

NK Grobnican Draw NK Uljanik

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Grobnican 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWLLD

NK Uljanik 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWDLDLW

Head-to-head

NK Grobnican 4–1–1 NK Uljanik (6 last)

NK Uljanik2-5NK Grobnican
NK Grobnican3-0NK Uljanik
NK Grobnican2-2NK Uljanik
NK Uljanik2-1NK Grobnican
NK Grobnican1-0NK Uljanik
NK Grobnican4-2NK Uljanik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Grobnican 1450 · NK Uljanik 1478

	NK Grobnican	Draw	NK Uljanik
Our model	28%	22%	50%
Market	27%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Grobnican: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Grobnican	NK Uljanik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.7	2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/22/67%	67/0/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.1	1.1 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.70

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:57 +7’	3.30	3.70	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Grobnican 4–1–1 NK Uljanik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Uljanik	2-5	NK Grobnican
29/11/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Grobnican	3-0 HT 1-0	NK Uljanik
08/03/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Grobnican	2-2 HT 1-1	NK Uljanik
07/09/24 Croatia 2.NL	NK Uljanik	2-1 HT 0-0	NK Grobnican
09/10/21 Croatia 2.NL	NK Grobnican	1-0 HT 0-0	NK Uljanik
05/06/21 Croatia 2.NL	NK Grobnican	4-2 HT 1-2	NK Uljanik

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Dugo Selo	8	5	1	2	14	7	16
2	NK Uskok	7	5	0	2	18	7	15
3	Bjelovar	8	4	2	2	17	12	14
4	NK Uljanik	9	4	2	3	17	18	14
5	NK Jarun	7	3	4	0	15	10	13
6	NK Trnje	8	4	1	3	13	9	13
7	NK Solin	8	3	3	2	12	10	12
8	NK Inker Zapresic	8	3	2	3	11	12	11
9	NK Grobnican	9	3	2	4	12	18	11
10	NK Zagora	8	2	4	2	19	18	10
11	NK Krizevci	8	3	1	4	11	14	10
12	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	8	3	1	4	9	13	10
13	NK Slavonija Pozega	8	2	3	3	15	15	9
14	NK Lucko	8	2	2	4	9	11	8
15	NK Koprivnica	8	1	2	5	10	19	5
16	Varteks Varazdin	8	1	2	5	5	14	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Grobnican	NK Uljanik
NK Solin	1-1 D	3-1 W
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1-4 L	3-2 W
NK Trnje	1-5 L	0-2 L
NK Dugo Selo	0-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NK Uljanik (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Grobnican

LLWLDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
03/10	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-3	1-4	9	5	L
26/09	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
19/09	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	3-0	5-1	4	1	W
12/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-4	8	5	L
05/09	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-2	2-2	1	2	D
22/08	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
29/05	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	–	5-2	–	–	W
23/05	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-5	7	1	L
16/05	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	8	4	L

NK Uljanik

DLWWWDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	2-0	3-1	1	2	W
03/10	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
25/09	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	2-1	3-3	3	3	D
19/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
11/09	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
04/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
30/08	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
21/08	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
29/05	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	–	2-5	–	–	L
22/05	NK Kustosija Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-1	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Grobnican vs NK Uljanik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Uljanik win (49%). Probabilities: NK Grobnican 27%, draw 23%, NK Uljanik 49%.

How many goals are expected in NK Grobnican vs NK Uljanik?

The model expects 3.71 goals (NK Grobnican 1.58 · NK Uljanik 2.13), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Grobnican vs NK Uljanik?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.