Football · Croatia 2.NL · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: NK Krizevci vs NK Lucko

Team pages: NK Krizevci · NK Lucko

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

NK Krizevci1.61

NK Lucko0.99

1X2

51% 26% 23%

NK Krizevci Draw NK Lucko

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Krizevci 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWDWLL

NK Lucko 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWLDLLLW

Head-to-head

NK Krizevci 2–0 NK Lucko (2 last)

NK Krizevci2-0NK Lucko
NK Lucko0-1NK Krizevci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Krizevci 1461 · NK Lucko 1459

	NK Krizevci	Draw	NK Lucko
Our model	50%	27%	22%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Krizevci: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Krizevci	NK Lucko
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/38/50%	25/13/63%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.5	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.60

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
00:56 +15’	1.73	3.60	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Krizevci 2–0–0 NK Lucko

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Krizevci	2-0 HT 1-0	NK Lucko
30/08/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Lucko	0-1	NK Krizevci

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Dugo Selo	8	5	1	2	14	7	16
2	NK Uskok	7	5	0	2	18	7	15
3	Bjelovar	8	4	2	2	17	12	14
4	NK Uljanik	9	4	2	3	17	18	14
5	NK Jarun	7	3	4	0	15	10	13
6	NK Trnje	8	4	1	3	13	9	13
7	NK Solin	8	3	3	2	12	10	12
8	NK Inker Zapresic	8	3	2	3	11	12	11
9	NK Grobnican	9	3	2	4	12	18	11
10	NK Zagora	8	2	4	2	19	18	10
11	NK Krizevci	8	3	1	4	11	14	10
12	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	8	3	1	4	9	13	10
13	NK Slavonija Pozega	8	2	3	3	15	15	9
14	NK Lucko	8	2	2	4	9	11	8
15	NK Koprivnica	8	1	2	5	10	19	5
16	Varteks Varazdin	8	1	2	5	5	14	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Krizevci	NK Lucko
NK Uljanik	1-3 L	2-2 D
NK Solin	0-2 L	0-1 L
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1-0 W	3-0 W
NK Jarun	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NK Lucko (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Krizevci

LLWLLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-3	10	2	L
03/10	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-2	0-2	13	3	L
25/09	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
19/09	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
12/09	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	0-0	3-0	3	5	W
05/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-2	1-4	5	3	L
29/08	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-3	4	5	L
22/08	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	4	7	W
30/05	Jadran LP Croatia 2.NL	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	–	0-2	–	–	L

NK Lucko

LWDWLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
03/10	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-3	5	7	L
18/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
11/09	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	1-2	2-2	3	4	D
04/09	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
29/08	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
22/08	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
30/05	NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL	–	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Krizevci vs NK Lucko?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Krizevci win (51%). Probabilities: NK Krizevci 51%, draw 26%, NK Lucko 23%.

How many goals are expected in NK Krizevci vs NK Lucko?

The model expects 2.6 goals (NK Krizevci 1.61 · NK Lucko 0.99), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Krizevci vs NK Lucko?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.