Football · Croatia 2.NL · 09/10, 15:30

Prediction: NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Uskok

Team pages: NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac · NK Uskok

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac1.3

NK Uskok1.51

1X2

32% 26% 41%

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Draw NK Uskok

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDWWLW

NK Uskok 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWLW

Head-to-head

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0–2 NK Uskok (2 last)

NK Uskok2-0NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac0-2NK Uskok

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1480 · NK Uskok 1530

	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	Draw	NK Uskok
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	33%	26%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Uskok (rating 1480 vs 1530).
H2H favours NK Uskok: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	NK Uskok
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.9	2.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.50

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:57 +8’	2.75	3.50	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0–0–2 NK Uskok

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Uskok	2-0 HT 1-0	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
22/08/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0-2 HT 0-1	NK Uskok

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bjelovar	7	4	2	1	16	9	14
2	NK Trnje	7	4	1	2	12	7	13
3	NK Dugo Selo	7	4	1	2	11	6	13
4	NK Uskok	6	4	0	2	14	7	12
5	NK Solin	7	3	2	2	11	9	11
6	NK Uljanik	7	3	2	2	14	15	11
7	NK Jarun	6	2	4	0	14	10	10
8	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	7	3	1	3	9	9	10
9	NK Krizevci	7	3	1	3	10	11	10
10	NK Zagora	7	2	3	2	17	16	9
11	NK Slavonija Pozega	7	2	2	3	13	13	8
12	NK Inker Zapresic	7	2	2	3	9	11	8
13	NK Grobnican	7	2	1	4	9	17	7
14	NK Lucko	7	1	2	4	7	10	5
15	NK Koprivnica	7	1	2	4	9	17	5
16	Varteks Varazdin	7	1	2	4	5	13	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	NK Uskok
NK Grobnican	4-1 W	3-0 W
NK Trnje	1-0 W	2-1 W
NK Uljanik	2-3 L	3-4 L
Bjelovar	2-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

DLWLLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	3-0	4-1	2	5	W
25/09	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/09	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
12/09	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	3	9	W
05/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
21/08	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	1-2	2-3	11	4	L
30/05	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
15/05	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	1	8	D

NK Uskok

WLLLWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
19/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-1	2-3	5	4	L
12/09	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	2-1	3-2	6	2	W
05/09	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	1-0	4-1	5	2	W
29/08	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
22/08	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	9	3	W
29/05	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
23/05	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 2.NL	–	2-3	–	–	L
16/05	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	2-2	3-4	4	7	L
09/05	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	2-0	2-1	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Uskok?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Uskok win (41%). Probabilities: NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 32%, draw 26%, NK Uskok 41%.

How many goals are expected in NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Uskok?

The model expects 2.81 goals (NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1.3 · NK Uskok 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Uskok?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.