Football · Croatia 2.NL · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: NK Solin vs Varteks Varazdin

Team pages: NK Solin · Varteks Varazdin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

NK Solin1.82

Varteks Varazdin1.03

1X2

55% 24% 20%

NK Solin Draw Varteks Varazdin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Solin 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLWWDL

Varteks Varazdin 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLDDLW

Head-to-head

NK Solin 1–1 Varteks Varazdin (2 last)

NK Solin2-3Varteks Varazdin
Varteks Varazdin1-2NK Solin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Solin 1508 · Varteks Varazdin 1485

	NK Solin	Draw	Varteks Varazdin
Our model	55%	25%	20%
Market	56%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Solin	Varteks Varazdin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.80

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:50 +24’	1.61	3.80	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Solin 1–0–1 Varteks Varazdin

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Solin	2-3 HT 0-2	Varteks Varazdin
18/10/25 Croatia 2.NL	Varteks Varazdin	1-2 HT 1-2	NK Solin

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uskok	8	6	0	2	19	7	18
2	Bjelovar	9	5	2	2	21	12	17
3	NK Dugo Selo	9	5	1	3	14	8	16
4	NK Jarun	8	3	5	0	17	12	14
5	NK Trnje	9	4	2	3	15	11	14
6	NK Uljanik	9	4	2	3	17	18	14
7	NK Slavonija Pozega	9	3	3	3	16	15	12
8	NK Solin	9	3	3	3	12	11	12
9	NK Inker Zapresic	9	3	3	3	13	14	12
10	NK Zagora	9	2	5	2	21	20	11
11	NK Krizevci	9	3	2	4	12	15	11
12	NK Grobnican	9	3	2	4	12	18	11
13	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	9	3	1	5	9	16	10
14	NK Lucko	9	2	3	4	10	12	9
15	Varteks Varazdin	9	2	2	5	8	14	8
16	NK Koprivnica	9	1	2	6	10	23	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Solin	Varteks Varazdin
NK Uskok	0-1 L	1-4 L
NK Krizevci	2-0 W	0-3 L
NK Dugo Selo	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Solin (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Solin

WDLWDLWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
11/10	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	10	4	D
03/10	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/09	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
19/09	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	1-2	2-3	5	6	L
12/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
04/09	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
30/08	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
22/08	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
29/05	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-1	1	2	W

Varteks Varazdin

WLLLWLDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
10/10	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-1	13	4	L
03/10	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
19/09	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
12/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	–	2-1	0	0	W
05/09	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
22/08	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	0	7	L
30/05	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	1-1	2-3	1	4	L
23/05	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Solin vs Varteks Varazdin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Solin win (55%). Probabilities: NK Solin 55%, draw 24%, Varteks Varazdin 20%.

How many goals are expected in NK Solin vs Varteks Varazdin?

The model expects 2.85 goals (NK Solin 1.82 · Varteks Varazdin 1.03), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Solin vs Varteks Varazdin?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.