Football · Croatia 2.NL · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: NK Lucko vs NK Grobnican

Team pages: NK Lucko · NK Grobnican

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

NK Lucko1.78

NK Grobnican1.33

1X2

47% 25% 28%

NK Lucko Draw NK Grobnican

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Lucko 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLDLLLWD

NK Grobnican 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWLLDW

Head-to-head

NK Lucko 1–1–0 NK Grobnican (2 last)

NK Grobnican2-2NK Lucko
NK Lucko2-0NK Grobnican

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Lucko 1484 · NK Grobnican 1461

	NK Lucko	Draw	NK Grobnican
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	47%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Lucko	NK Grobnican
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.7 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/11/67%	22/22/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	2.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:10 +4’	1.91	3.50	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Lucko 1–1–0 NK Grobnican

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Grobnican	2-2 HT 1-0	NK Lucko
08/11/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Lucko	2-0	NK Grobnican

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uskok	8	6	0	2	19	7	18
2	Bjelovar	9	5	2	2	21	12	17
3	NK Dugo Selo	9	5	1	3	14	8	16
4	NK Jarun	8	3	5	0	17	12	14
5	NK Trnje	9	4	2	3	15	11	14
6	NK Uljanik	9	4	2	3	17	18	14
7	NK Slavonija Pozega	9	3	3	3	16	15	12
8	NK Solin	9	3	3	3	12	11	12
9	NK Inker Zapresic	9	3	3	3	13	14	12
10	NK Zagora	9	2	5	2	21	20	11
11	NK Krizevci	9	3	2	4	12	15	11
12	NK Grobnican	9	3	2	4	12	18	11
13	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	9	3	1	5	9	16	10
14	NK Lucko	9	2	3	4	10	12	9
15	Varteks Varazdin	9	2	2	5	8	14	8
16	NK Koprivnica	9	1	2	6	10	23	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Lucko	NK Grobnican
NK Trnje	2-1 W	1-5 L
NK Uljanik	2-2 D	2-0 W
NK Solin	0-1 L	1-1 D
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3-0 W	1-4 L
NK Jarun	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Lucko (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Lucko

WDWLDLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
10/10	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
03/10	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-3	5	7	L
18/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
11/09	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	1-2	2-2	3	4	D
04/09	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
29/08	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
22/08	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
30/05	NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL	–	2-1	–	–	W

NK Grobnican

LWLDLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
11/10	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
03/10	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-3	1-4	9	5	L
26/09	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
19/09	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	3-0	5-1	4	1	W
12/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-4	8	5	L
05/09	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-2	2-2	1	2	D
22/08	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
29/05	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	–	5-2	–	–	W
23/05	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-5	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Lucko vs NK Grobnican?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Lucko win (47%). Probabilities: NK Lucko 47%, draw 25%, NK Grobnican 28%.

How many goals are expected in NK Lucko vs NK Grobnican?

The model expects 3.11 goals (NK Lucko 1.78 · NK Grobnican 1.33), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Lucko vs NK Grobnican?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.