Football · Croatia 2.NL · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Varteks Varazdin vs NK Uljanik

Team pages: Varteks Varazdin · NK Uljanik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Varteks Varazdin1.65

NK Uljanik1.65

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Varteks Varazdin Draw NK Uljanik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Varteks Varazdin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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NK Uljanik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Varteks Varazdin 1–1 NK Uljanik (2 last)

NK Uljanik3-0Varteks Varazdin
Varteks Varazdin1-0NK Uljanik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Varteks Varazdin 1449 · NK Uljanik 1472

	Varteks Varazdin	Draw	NK Uljanik
Our model	37%	25%	37%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Varteks Varazdin	NK Uljanik
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	1.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	1.2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:34 +3’	2.45	3.50	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Varteks Varazdin 1–0–1 NK Uljanik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Uljanik	3-0 HT 3-0	Varteks Varazdin
03/10/25 Croatia 2.NL	Varteks Varazdin	1-0 HT 1-0	NK Uljanik

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uskok	9	7	0	2	22	8	21
2	NK Dugo Selo	11	6	2	3	16	8	20
3	Bjelovar	10	5	3	2	23	14	18
4	NK Jarun	9	3	6	0	19	14	15
5	NK Solin	10	4	3	3	15	11	15
6	NK Slavonija Pozega	10	4	3	3	19	16	15
7	NK Trnje	11	4	3	4	16	14	15
8	NK Uljanik	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	NK Inker Zapresic	10	3	4	3	14	15	13
10	NK Zagora	10	2	6	2	22	21	12
11	NK Krizevci	10	3	3	4	13	16	12
12	NK Grobnican	10	3	3	4	13	19	12
13	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	10	3	2	5	10	17	11
14	NK Lucko	10	2	4	4	11	13	10
15	Varteks Varazdin	10	2	2	6	8	17	8
16	NK Koprivnica	10	1	2	7	10	25	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Varteks Varazdin	NK Uljanik
NK Solin	0-3 L	3-1 W
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3-0 W	3-2 W
NK Dugo Selo	2-1 W	3-0 W
NK Uskok	1-4 L	1-3 L
NK Krizevci	0-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NK Uljanik (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Varteks Varazdin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
17/10	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
10/10	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-1	13	4	L
03/10	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
19/09	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
12/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	–	2-1	0	0	W
05/09	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
22/08	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	0	7	L
30/05	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	1-1	2-3	1	4	L

NK Uljanik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-3	6	4	L
16/10	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
09/10	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	2-0	3-1	1	2	W
03/10	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
25/09	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	2-1	3-3	3	3	D
19/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
11/09	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
04/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
30/08	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
21/08	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	2-1	3-2	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Varteks Varazdin vs NK Uljanik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Varteks Varazdin win (37%). Probabilities: Varteks Varazdin 37%, draw 26%, NK Uljanik 37%.

How many goals are expected in Varteks Varazdin vs NK Uljanik?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Varteks Varazdin 1.65 · NK Uljanik 1.65), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Varteks Varazdin vs NK Uljanik?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.