Football · Croatia 2.NL · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: NK Krizevci vs NK Slavonija Pozega

Team pages: NK Krizevci

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

NK Krizevci1.84

NK Slavonija Pozega1.26

1X2

50% 25% 25%

NK Krizevci Draw NK Slavonija Pozega

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Krizevci 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWLLDD

NK Slavonija Pozega 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLLWDWDWW

Head-to-head

NK Krizevci 1–0 NK Slavonija Pozega (1 last)

NK Krizevci5-1NK Slavonija Pozega

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Krizevci 1469 · NK Slavonija Pozega 1528

	NK Krizevci	Draw	NK Slavonija Pozega
Our model	50%	25%	25%
Market	50%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Slavonija Pozega (rating 1469 vs 1528).
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Krizevci	NK Slavonija Pozega
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.4	3.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.70

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:32 +6’	1.80	3.70	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Krizevci 1–0–0 NK Slavonija Pozega

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/23 Croatia 2.HNL Play-Offs	NK Krizevci	5-1 HT 1-1	NK Slavonija Pozega

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uskok	9	7	0	2	22	8	21
2	NK Dugo Selo	11	6	2	3	16	8	20
3	Bjelovar	10	5	3	2	23	14	18
4	NK Jarun	9	3	6	0	19	14	15
5	NK Solin	10	4	3	3	15	11	15
6	NK Slavonija Pozega	10	4	3	3	19	16	15
7	NK Trnje	11	4	3	4	16	14	15
8	NK Uljanik	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	NK Inker Zapresic	10	3	4	3	14	15	13
10	NK Zagora	10	2	6	2	22	21	12
11	NK Krizevci	10	3	3	4	13	16	12
12	NK Grobnican	10	3	3	4	13	19	12
13	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	10	3	2	5	10	17	11
14	NK Lucko	10	2	4	4	11	13	10
15	Varteks Varazdin	10	2	2	6	8	17	8
16	NK Koprivnica	10	1	2	7	10	25	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Krizevci	NK Slavonija Pozega
NK Zagora	1-1 D	2-2 D
NK Lucko	1-1 D	2-0 W
NK Uljanik	1-3 L	3-3 D
NK Solin	0-2 L	3-2 W
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1-0 W	0-1 L
NK Jarun	2-2 D	0-1 L
NK Koprivnica	3-0 W	2-2 D
Bjelovar	1-4 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Slavonija Pozega (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Krizevci

WLLWDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	9	6	D
17/10	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
09/10	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-3	10	2	L
03/10	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-2	0-2	13	3	L
25/09	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
19/09	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
12/09	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	0-0	3-0	3	5	W
05/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-2	1-4	5	3	L
29/08	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-3	4	5	L
22/08	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	4	7	W

NK Slavonija Pozega

LDLLWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-1	7	4	W
17/10	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
10/10	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	0-2	2-2	4	2	D
03/10	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
25/09	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	1-2	3-3	4	3	D
19/09	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	2-1	3-2	8	6	W
12/09	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
05/09	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
29/08	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
22/08	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	0-1	3-4	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Krizevci vs NK Slavonija Pozega?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Krizevci win (50%). Probabilities: NK Krizevci 50%, draw 25%, NK Slavonija Pozega 25%.

How many goals are expected in NK Krizevci vs NK Slavonija Pozega?

The model expects 3.1 goals (NK Krizevci 1.84 · NK Slavonija Pozega 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Krizevci vs NK Slavonija Pozega?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.