Football · Croatia 2.NL · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: NK Inker Zapresic vs NK Solin

Team pages: NK Solin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

NK Inker Zapresic1.52

NK Solin1.4

1X2

40% 26% 34%

NK Inker Zapresic Draw NK Solin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Inker Zapresic 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLDWDD

NK Solin 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWWDLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Inker Zapresic 1543 · NK Solin 1516

	NK Inker Zapresic	Draw	NK Solin
Our model	39%	27%	34%
Market	40%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Inker Zapresic	NK Solin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.9	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:41 +5’	2.25	3.50	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uskok	9	7	0	2	22	8	21
2	NK Dugo Selo	11	6	2	3	16	8	20
3	Bjelovar	10	5	3	2	23	14	18
4	NK Jarun	9	3	6	0	19	14	15
5	NK Solin	10	4	3	3	15	11	15
6	NK Slavonija Pozega	10	4	3	3	19	16	15
7	NK Trnje	11	4	3	4	16	14	15
8	NK Uljanik	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	NK Inker Zapresic	10	3	4	3	14	15	13
10	NK Zagora	10	2	6	2	22	21	12
11	NK Krizevci	10	3	3	4	13	16	12
12	NK Grobnican	10	3	3	4	13	19	12
13	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	10	3	2	5	10	17	11
14	NK Lucko	10	2	4	4	11	13	10
15	Varteks Varazdin	10	2	2	6	8	17	8
16	NK Koprivnica	10	1	2	7	10	25	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Inker Zapresic	NK Solin
NK Dugo Selo	0-3 L	1-1 D
Varteks Varazdin	2-0 W	3-0 W
NK Uskok	2-3 L	0-1 L
NK Grobnican	2-2 D	1-1 D
NK Krizevci	3-0 W	2-0 W
NK Trnje	0-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NK Solin (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Inker Zapresic

LWDLWLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
17/10	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
12/10	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
03/10	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
26/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
19/09	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
12/09	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	1-2	2-3	2	2	L
05/09	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	2-0	2-2	5	2	D
29/08	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-0	3-0	2	5	W
22/08	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	6	4	L

NK Solin

DLWDLWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
17/10	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
11/10	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	10	4	D
03/10	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/09	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
19/09	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	1-2	2-3	5	6	L
12/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
04/09	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
30/08	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
22/08	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Inker Zapresic vs NK Solin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Inker Zapresic win (40%). Probabilities: NK Inker Zapresic 40%, draw 26%, NK Solin 34%.

How many goals are expected in NK Inker Zapresic vs NK Solin?

The model expects 2.92 goals (NK Inker Zapresic 1.52 · NK Solin 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Inker Zapresic vs NK Solin?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.