Prediction: AD Fafe vs Trofense
Team pages: AD Fafe · Trofense
- AD Fafe1-2Trofense
- Trofense5-1AD Fafe
- Trofense3-2AD Fafe
- AD Fafe1-0Trofense
- AD Fafe2-3Trofense
- Trofense1-3AD Fafe
| AD Fafe | Draw | Trofense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD Fafe (rating 1538 vs 1425).
- H2H favours Trofense: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD Fafe | Trofense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.6 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Fafe 2–0–4 Trofense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 Portugal Liga 3 | AD Fafe | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Trofense |
| 13/09/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Trofense | 5-1 HT 2-1 | AD Fafe |
| 14/12/24 Portugal Liga 3 | Trofense | 3-2 HT 1-2 | AD Fafe |
| 31/08/24 Portugal Liga 3 | AD Fafe | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Trofense |
| 27/04/24 Portugal Liga 3 | AD Fafe | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Trofense |
| 24/02/24 Portugal Liga 3 | Trofense | 1-3 HT 1-2 | AD Fafe |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Leca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | SC Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD Fafe | Trofense |
|---|---|---|
| Leca | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Guimaraes B | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Sao Joao Ver | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| SC Vianense | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AD Fafe (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD Fafe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Leca Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Sao Joao Ver Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | SC Vianense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Braga B Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 28/04 | Sao Joao Ver Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | AD Marco 09 Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | AD Sanjoanense Portugal Liga 3 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
Trofense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Leca Portugal Liga 3 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 05/09 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Sao Joao Ver Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | SC Vianense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD Fafe vs Trofense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Fafe win (56%). Probabilities: AD Fafe 56%, draw 28%, Trofense 17%.
How many goals are expected in AD Fafe vs Trofense?
The model expects 2.13 goals (AD Fafe 1.46 · Trofense 0.67), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AD Fafe vs Trofense?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.