Prediction: Atletico CP Lisbon vs Caldas SC
Team pages: Atletico CP Lisbon · Caldas SC
- Atletico CP Lisbon2-0Caldas SC
- Caldas SC0-1Atletico CP Lisbon
- Caldas SC0-1Atletico CP Lisbon
- Atletico CP Lisbon2-0Caldas SC
- Caldas SC1-1Atletico CP Lisbon
- Atletico CP Lisbon4-0Caldas SC
| Atletico CP Lisbon | Draw | Caldas SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 29% | 18% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico CP Lisbon (rating 1561 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Atletico CP Lisbon: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico CP Lisbon | Caldas SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico CP Lisbon 5–1–0 Caldas SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Caldas SC |
| 14/03/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Caldas SC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico CP Lisbon |
| 07/12/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Caldas SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico CP Lisbon |
| 24/08/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Caldas SC |
| 19/01/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Caldas SC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico CP Lisbon |
| 06/10/24 Portugal Liga 3 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Caldas SC |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | UD Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 4 | Louletano DC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | UD Santarem | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | CD Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Sporting Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC Evora | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | GD Vitoria de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico CP Lisbon | Caldas SC |
|---|---|---|
| CF Os Belenenses | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Sporting Covilha | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Lusitano GC Evora | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| SU 1 Dezembro | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Amora | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico CP Lisbon (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico CP Lisbon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
Caldas SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Louletano DC Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Atletico CP Lisbon Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico CP Lisbon vs Caldas SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico CP Lisbon win (54%). Probabilities: Atletico CP Lisbon 54%, draw 27%, Caldas SC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico CP Lisbon vs Caldas SC?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Atletico CP Lisbon 1.49 · Caldas SC 0.75), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico CP Lisbon vs Caldas SC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.