Prediction: UD Santarem vs Lusitano GC Evora
Team pages: UD Santarem · Lusitano GC Evora
- Lusitano GC Evora1-0UD Santarem
- UD Santarem1-0Lusitano GC Evora
| UD Santarem | Draw | Lusitano GC Evora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 33% | 39% |
| Market | 29% | 29% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UD Santarem | Lusitano GC Evora | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.8 | 2.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Santarem 1–0–1 Lusitano GC Evora
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Lusitano GC Evora | 1-0 HT 0-0 | UD Santarem |
| 09/08/25 Portugal Liga 3 | UD Santarem | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lusitano GC Evora |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | UD Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Louletano DC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 5 | UD Santarem | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | CD Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Sporting Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC Evora | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | GD Vitoria de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UD Santarem | Lusitano GC Evora |
|---|---|---|
| Louletano DC | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Caldas SC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Sporting Covilha | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Lusitano GC Evora (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UD Santarem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Louletano DC Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/09 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 08/08 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Lusitano GC Evora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Louletano DC Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | Atletico CP Lisbon Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Atletico CP Lisbon Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UD Santarem vs Lusitano GC Evora?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lusitano GC Evora win (40%). Probabilities: UD Santarem 28%, draw 31%, Lusitano GC Evora 40%.
How many goals are expected in UD Santarem vs Lusitano GC Evora?
The model expects 2.02 goals (UD Santarem 0.89 · Lusitano GC Evora 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in UD Santarem vs Lusitano GC Evora?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.