Prediction: Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim
Team pages: Sao Joao Ver · Varzim
- Sao Joao Ver1-1Varzim
- Varzim4-0Sao Joao Ver
- Sao Joao Ver4-1Varzim
- Varzim2-0Sao Joao Ver
- Varzim1-1Sao Joao Ver
- Sao Joao Ver2-1Varzim
| Sao Joao Ver | Draw | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 32% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sao Joao Ver | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Joao Ver 2–2–2 Varzim
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Sao Joao Ver | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Varzim |
| 16/08/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Sao Joao Ver |
| 26/01/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Sao Joao Ver | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Varzim |
| 26/10/24 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sao Joao Ver |
| 22/04/23 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sao Joao Ver |
| 01/04/23 Portugal Liga 3 | Sao Joao Ver | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Varzim |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Leca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sao Joao Ver | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Pacos Ferreira | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| AD Marco 09 | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Trofense | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Paredes | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Varzim (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sao Joao Ver
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | AD Marco 09 Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Leca Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | AD Sanjoanense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/04 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | AD Marco 09 Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 21/03 | Braga B Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Varzim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | SC Vianense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Liga 3 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | AD Marco 09 Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Varzim win (37%). Probabilities: Sao Joao Ver 33%, draw 31%, Varzim 37%.
How many goals are expected in Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Sao Joao Ver 1.02 · Varzim 1.1), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.