Football · Greece Super League 1 · 10/10, 18:30
Prediction: Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Athinon
Team pages: Asteras Tripolis · Atromitos Athinon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Asteras Tripolis1.25
Atromitos Athinon1.12
1X2
Asteras Tripolis
Draw
Atromitos Athinon
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Asteras Tripolis
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Atromitos Athinon
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Asteras Tripolis
2–1–3
Atromitos Athinon
(6 last)
- Asteras Tripolis4-2Atromitos Athinon
- Atromitos Athinon2-1Asteras Tripolis
- Asteras Tripolis1-2Atromitos Athinon
- Atromitos Athinon0-1Asteras Tripolis
- Atromitos Athinon0-0Asteras Tripolis
- Asteras Tripolis1-4Atromitos Athinon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Asteras Tripolis 1504 · Atromitos Athinon 1459
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Atromitos Athinon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asteras Tripolis (rating 1504 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Atromitos Athinon: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Asteras Tripolis | Atromitos Athinon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.9 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Asteras Tripolis 2–1–3 Atromitos Athinon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Greece Super League 1 | Asteras Tripolis | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 26/04/26 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 21/02/26 Greece Super League 1 | Asteras Tripolis | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 30/11/25 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 19/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Atromitos Athinon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 03/05/25 Greece Super League 1 | Asteras Tripolis | 1-4 HT 0-4 | Atromitos Athinon |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | PAOK Salonika | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | OFI Crete | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Olympiacos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Panetolikos | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Aris Salonika | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
| 8 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Kifisias FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Atromitos Athinon | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Asteras Tripolis | Atromitos Athinon |
|---|---|---|
| Iraklis 1908 FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Olympiacos | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Panetolikos | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Kifisias FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Panserraikos | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Larissa | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Atromitos Athinon (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Asteras Tripolis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 07/09 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 21/05 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 10 | W |
| 09/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
Atromitos Athinon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 21/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Athinon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Asteras Tripolis win (38%). Probabilities: Asteras Tripolis 38%, draw 30%, Atromitos Athinon 32%.
How many goals are expected in Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Athinon?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Asteras Tripolis 1.25 · Atromitos Athinon 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Athinon?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.