Football · Greece Super League 1 · 18/10, 16:00
Prediction: Panetolikos vs Olympiacos
Team pages: Panetolikos · Olympiacos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Panetolikos0.56
Olympiacos1.81
1X2
Panetolikos
Draw
Olympiacos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-1 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Panetolikos
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Olympiacos
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Panetolikos
0–1–5
Olympiacos
(6 last)
- Olympiacos2-0Panetolikos
- Panetolikos0-1Olympiacos
- Panetolikos0-2Olympiacos
- Olympiacos0-0Panetolikos
- Panetolikos1-2Olympiacos
- Olympiacos3-1Panetolikos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Panetolikos 1465 · Olympiacos 1589
| Panetolikos | Draw | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 23% | 67% |
| Market | 12% | 20% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympiacos (rating 1465 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Olympiacos: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Panetolikos | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 3.4 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 5.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Panetolikos 0–1–5 Olympiacos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Panetolikos |
| 30/11/25 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Olympiacos |
| 06/01/25 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Olympiacos |
| 15/09/24 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Panetolikos |
| 28/02/24 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Olympiacos |
| 25/11/23 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Panetolikos |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiacos | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | PAOK Salonika | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Aris Salonika | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 9 | Kifisias FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos Athinon | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Panetolikos | Olympiacos |
|---|---|---|
| PAOK Salonika | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Panathinaikos | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Levadiakos | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Asteras Tripolis | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Atromitos Athinon | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Panetolikos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 21/05 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Olympiacos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 20/09 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Panetolikos vs Olympiacos?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Olympiacos win (68%). Probabilities: Panetolikos 11%, draw 21%, Olympiacos 68%.
How many goals are expected in Panetolikos vs Olympiacos?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Panetolikos 0.56 · Olympiacos 1.81), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Panetolikos vs Olympiacos?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.