Football · Greece Super League 1 · 11/10, 18:00

Prediction: Aris Salonika vs Volos NFC

Team pages: Aris Salonika · Volos NFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Aris Salonika2.2

Volos NFC1.08

1X2

61% 23% 16%

Aris Salonika Draw Volos NFC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Aris Salonika 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Volos NFC 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Aris Salonika 3–2–1 Volos NFC (6 last)

Volos NFC1-2Aris Salonika
Aris Salonika3-2Volos NFC
Volos NFC1-1Aris Salonika
Aris Salonika2-0Volos NFC
Volos NFC1-1Aris Salonika
Aris Salonika0-1Volos NFC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aris Salonika 1568 · Volos NFC 1427

	Aris Salonika	Draw	Volos NFC
Our model	62%	21%	17%
Market	60%	25%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aris Salonika (rating 1568 vs 1427).
H2H favours Aris Salonika: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aris Salonika	Volos NFC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.8	1.4 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.70

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 4.40 ★
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:57 +7’	1.55	3.70	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:04 +420’	1.49	4.40	6.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aris Salonika 3–2–1 Volos NFC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Greece Super League 1	Volos NFC	1-2 HT 0-1	Aris Salonika
18/04/26 Greece Super League 1	Aris Salonika	3-2 HT 1-2	Volos NFC
14/02/26 Greece Super League 1	Volos NFC	1-1 HT 0-1	Aris Salonika
23/08/25 Greece Super League 1	Aris Salonika	2-0 HT 0-0	Volos NFC
01/03/25 Greece Super League 1	Volos NFC	1-1 HT 0-0	Aris Salonika
23/11/24 Greece Super League 1	Aris Salonika	0-1 HT 0-1	Volos NFC

Standings · Greece Super League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	12	2	15
2	PAOK Salonika	5	4	0	1	12	5	12
3	AEK Athens	5	3	2	0	13	3	11
4	OFI Crete	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
5	Olympiacos	5	3	1	1	4	2	10
6	Panetolikos	5	3	0	2	8	7	9
7	Aris Salonika	5	2	1	2	5	10	7
8	Iraklis 1908 FC	5	1	3	1	4	6	6
9	Kifisias FC	5	1	2	2	4	7	5
10	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	6	8	4
11	Atromitos Athinon	5	0	2	3	4	7	2
12	Asteras Tripolis	5	0	2	3	4	9	2
13	Levadiakos	5	0	1	4	0	9	1
14	Volos NFC	5	0	2	3	4	9	-1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aris Salonika	Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908 FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
AEK Athens	0-5 L	1-2 L
OFI Crete	2-1 W	0-2 L
Kalamata	3-2 W	1-3 L
Levadiakos	3-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Aris Salonika (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aris Salonika

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
13/09	PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1	0-2	0-2	7	4	L
05/09	AEK Athens Greece Super League 1	0-1	0-5	2	3	L
30/08	OFI Crete Greece Super League 1	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
22/08	Kalamata Greece Super League 1	1-1	3-2	10	7	W
17/05	Levadiakos Greece Super League 1	0-0	3-0	11	8	W
13/05	Volos NFC Greece Super League 1	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
10/05	OFI Crete Greece Super League 1	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
03/05	OFI Crete Greece Super League 1	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
18/04	Volos NFC Greece Super League 1	1-2	3-2	4	10	W

Volos NFC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	AEK Athens Greece Super League 1	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
13/09	Kalamata Greece Super League 1	1-0	1-3	3	6	L
05/09	Olympiacos Greece Super League 1	0-1	1-1	0	7	D
29/08	Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
23/08	OFI Crete Greece Super League 1	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
17/05	OFI Crete Greece Super League 1	1-2	1-3	3	5	L
13/05	Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
10/05	Levadiakos Greece Super League 1	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
03/05	Levadiakos Greece Super League 1	0-2	2-5	4	4	L
18/04	Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1	2-1	2-3	5	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aris Salonika vs Volos NFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aris Salonika win (61%). Probabilities: Aris Salonika 61%, draw 23%, Volos NFC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Aris Salonika vs Volos NFC?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Aris Salonika 2.2 · Volos NFC 1.08), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Aris Salonika vs Volos NFC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.