Football · Greece Super League 1 · 11/10, 20:00

Prediction: Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos

Team pages: Olympiacos · Panathinaikos

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Olympiacos1.22
Panathinaikos0.93
1X2
42% 31% 27%
Olympiacos Draw Panathinaikos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Olympiacos 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLDWDWWDLW
Panathinaikos 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDLLDWWWWW
Head-to-head
Olympiacos 4–1–1 Panathinaikos (6 last)
  • Olympiacos1-0Panathinaikos
  • Panathinaikos0-2Olympiacos
  • Olympiacos0-1Panathinaikos
  • Panathinaikos1-1Olympiacos
  • Panathinaikos0-1Olympiacos
  • Olympiacos4-2Panathinaikos
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olympiacos 1546 · Panathinaikos 1579
OlympiacosDrawPanathinaikos
Our model42%32%27%
Market43%30%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Olympiacos: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

OlympiacosPanathinaikos
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.71.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.10.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.92.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.15 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Olympiacos 4–1–1 Panathinaikos

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/05/26
Greece Super League 1
Olympiacos1-0
HT 1-0
Panathinaikos
19/04/26
Greece Super League 1
Panathinaikos0-2
HT 0-2
Olympiacos
08/02/26
Greece Super League 1
Olympiacos0-1
HT 0-1
Panathinaikos
21/09/25
Greece Super League 1
Panathinaikos1-1
HT 0-0
Olympiacos
11/05/25
Greece Super League 1
Panathinaikos0-1
HT 0-0
Olympiacos
30/03/25
Greece Super League 1
Olympiacos4-2
HT 2-1
Panathinaikos

Standings · Greece Super League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Panathinaikos 5500 12215
2 PAOK Salonika 5401 12512
3 AEK Athens 5320 13311
4 OFI Crete 5311 8410
5 Olympiacos 5311 4210
6 Panetolikos 5302 879
7 Aris Salonika 5212 5107
8 Iraklis 1908 FC 5131 466
9 Kifisias FC 5122 475
10 Kalamata 5113 684
11 Atromitos Athinon 5023 472
12 Asteras Tripolis 5023 492
13 Levadiakos 5014 091
14 Volos NFC 5023 49-1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOlympiacosPanathinaikos
Levadiakos 1-0 W 2-0 W
AEK Athens 1-1 D 1-2 L
PAOK Salonika 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Panathinaikos (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olympiacos

WLDWDWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Levadiakos
Greece Super League 1
0-0 1-0 95 W
12/09 OFI Crete
Greece Super League 1
0-0 0-1 81 L
05/09 Volos NFC
Greece Super League 1
1-0 1-1 97 D
30/08 Asteras Tripolis
Greece Super League 1
1-0 1-0 67 W
22/08 Atromitos Athinon
Greece Super League 1
0-0 1-0 1410 W
17/05 AEK Athens
Greece Super League 1
1-0 1-1 36 D
13/05 Panathinaikos
Greece Super League 1
1-0 1-0 53 W
10/05 PAOK Salonika
Greece Super League 1
0-0 1-1 57 D
03/05 PAOK Salonika
Greece Super League 1
1-1 1-3 92 L
19/04 Panathinaikos
Greece Super League 1
2-0 2-0 18 W

Panathinaikos

LDLLDWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Kalamata
Greece Super League 1
1-0 1-0 64 W
13/09 Panetolikos
Greece Super League 1
2-0 3-0 83 W
10/09 Kifisias FC
Greece Super League 1
0-0 3-1 116 W
06/09 PAOK Salonika
Greece Super League 1
2-0 3-1 56 W
31/08 Levadiakos
Greece Super League 1
1-0 2-0 57 W
17/05 PAOK Salonika
Greece Super League 1
0-2 2-2 104 D
13/05 Olympiacos
Greece Super League 1
0-1 0-1 03 L
10/05 AEK Athens
Greece Super League 1
0-0 1-2 17 L
03/05 AEK Athens
Greece Super League 1
0-0 0-0 27 D
19/04 Olympiacos
Greece Super League 1
0-2 0-2 38 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olympiacos win (42%). Probabilities: Olympiacos 42%, draw 31%, Panathinaikos 27%.

How many goals are expected in Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos?

The model expects 2.15 goals (Olympiacos 1.22 · Panathinaikos 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.