Prediction: AEK Athens vs OFI Crete
Team pages: AEK Athens · OFI Crete
- AEK Athens2-2OFI Crete
- AEK Athens0-1OFI Crete
- AEK Athens2-1OFI Crete
- AEK Athens2-0OFI Crete
- OFI Crete0-1AEK Athens
- OFI Crete1-2AEK Athens
| AEK Athens | Draw | OFI Crete | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 18% | 6% |
| Market | 78% | 15% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Athens (rating 1623 vs 1556).
- H2H favours AEK Athens: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AEK Athens | OFI Crete | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.9 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AEK Athens 4–1–1 OFI Crete
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 Greece - Super Cup | AEK Athens | 2-2 HT 1-0 | OFI Crete |
| 14/01/26 Greece Cup | AEK Athens | 0-1 HT 0-0 | OFI Crete |
| 21/12/25 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 2-1 HT 0-1 | OFI Crete |
| 03/12/25 Greece Cup | AEK Athens | 2-0 HT 1-0 | OFI Crete |
| 09/11/25 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AEK Athens |
| 08/12/24 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 1-2 HT 1-1 | AEK Athens |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | PAOK Salonika | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | OFI Crete | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Olympiacos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Panetolikos | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Aris Salonika | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
| 8 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Kifisias FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Atromitos Athinon | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AEK Athens | OFI Crete |
|---|---|---|
| Volos NFC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Asteras Tripolis | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Aris Salonika | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kifisias FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Olympiacos | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: OFI Crete (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AEK Athens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
OFI Crete
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 13 | L |
| 10/05 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AEK Athens vs OFI Crete?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AEK Athens win (77%). Probabilities: AEK Athens 77%, draw 16%, OFI Crete 6%.
How many goals are expected in AEK Athens vs OFI Crete?
The model expects 2.64 goals (AEK Athens 2.18 · OFI Crete 0.46), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in AEK Athens vs OFI Crete?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.