Football · Thailand Premier League · 05/09, 13:00
Prediction: Chiangrai Utd vs Chonburi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Chiangrai Utd1.3
Chonburi1.22
1X2
Chiangrai Utd
Draw
Chonburi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chiangrai Utd
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Chonburi
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chiangrai Utd
1–3–2
Chonburi
(6 last)
- Chiangrai Utd1-3Chonburi
- Chonburi1-1Chiangrai Utd
- Chonburi2-0Chiangrai Utd
- Chiangrai Utd1-1Chonburi
- Chonburi1-3Chiangrai Utd
- Chiangrai Utd1-1Chonburi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chiangrai Utd 1506 · Chonburi 1504
| Chiangrai Utd | Draw | Chonburi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chonburi: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chiangrai Utd | Chonburi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.4 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.5 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chiangrai Utd 1–3–2 Chonburi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Thailand Premier League | Chiangrai Utd | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Chonburi |
| 19/10/25 Thailand Premier League | Chonburi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chiangrai Utd |
| 03/04/24 Thailand Premier League | Chonburi | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chiangrai Utd |
| 28/10/23 Thailand Premier League | Chiangrai Utd | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Chonburi |
| 09/04/23 Thailand Premier League | Chonburi | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Chiangrai Utd |
| 05/11/22 Thailand Premier League | Chiangrai Utd | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Chonburi |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BG Pathum United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Pattani FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ayutthaya United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bangkok United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Buriram United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Chiangrai Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Chonburi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Port FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Prachuap FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Rasi Salai United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Rayong FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sisaket United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sukhothai FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Uthai Thani FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chiangrai Utd | Chonburi |
|---|---|---|
| Sukhothai FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Muang Thong United | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Nakhon Ratchasima | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Kanchanaburi Power | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chonburi (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chiangrai Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 05/04 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/03 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 01/03 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/02 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Chonburi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/03 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/03 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 28/02 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 21/02 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chiangrai Utd vs Chonburi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chiangrai Utd win (38%). Probabilities: Chiangrai Utd 38%, draw 28%, Chonburi 34%.
How many goals are expected in Chiangrai Utd vs Chonburi?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Chiangrai Utd 1.3 · Chonburi 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chiangrai Utd vs Chonburi?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.