Football · Thailand Premier League · 06/09, 13:00
Prediction: Ayutthaya United vs Ratchaburi FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Ayutthaya United1.3
Ratchaburi FC1.84
1X2
Ayutthaya United
Draw
Ratchaburi FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Ayutthaya United
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Ratchaburi FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ayutthaya United
2–1–1
Ratchaburi FC
(4 last)
- Ratchaburi FC1-2Ayutthaya United
- Ayutthaya United1-0Ratchaburi FC
- Ayutthaya United1-3Ratchaburi FC
- Ayutthaya United1-1Ratchaburi FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayutthaya United 1402 · Ratchaburi FC 1556
| Ayutthaya United | Draw | Ratchaburi FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ratchaburi FC (rating 1402 vs 1556).
- H2H favours Ayutthaya United: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ayutthaya United | Ratchaburi FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.1 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayutthaya United 2–1–1 Ratchaburi FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Ayutthaya United |
| 25/02/26 Thailand Cup | Ayutthaya United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 09/11/25 Thailand Premier League | Ayutthaya United | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 15/05/19 Thailand League Cup | Ayutthaya United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ratchaburi FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bangkok United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Port FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Chiangrai Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Rayong FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | BG Pathum United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Pattani FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Buriram United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Ratchaburi FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Sukhothai FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Uthai Thani FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Rasi Salai United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Chonburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Prachuap FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Sisaket United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ayutthaya United | Ratchaburi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Bangkok United | 1-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Buriram United | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Lamphun Warrior FC | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Kanchanaburi Power | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| BG Pathum United | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ratchaburi FC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayutthaya United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 07/03 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 28/02 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/02 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Ratchaburi FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 28/02 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayutthaya United vs Ratchaburi FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ratchaburi FC win (49%). Probabilities: Ayutthaya United 26%, draw 26%, Ratchaburi FC 49%.
How many goals are expected in Ayutthaya United vs Ratchaburi FC?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Ayutthaya United 1.3 · Ratchaburi FC 1.84), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ayutthaya United vs Ratchaburi FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.