Football · Thailand Premier League · 05/09, 14:30
Prediction: Rayong FC vs Prachuap FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Rayong FC1.16
Prachuap FC1.38
1X2
Rayong FC
Draw
Prachuap FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rayong FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Prachuap FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rayong FC
1–2–3
Prachuap FC
(6 last)
- Prachuap FC2-0Rayong FC
- Rayong FC1-1Prachuap FC
- Rayong FC3-2Prachuap FC
- Prachuap FC3-0Rayong FC
- Rayong FC1-3Prachuap FC
- Prachuap FC1-1Rayong FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rayong FC 1442 · Prachuap FC 1572
| Rayong FC | Draw | Prachuap FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Prachuap FC (rating 1442 vs 1572).
- H2H favours Prachuap FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rayong FC | Prachuap FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 1.6 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rayong FC 1–2–3 Prachuap FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Thailand Premier League | Prachuap FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rayong FC |
| 19/10/25 Thailand Premier League | Rayong FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Prachuap FC |
| 19/01/25 Thailand Premier League | Rayong FC | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Prachuap FC |
| 28/08/24 Thailand Premier League | Prachuap FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Rayong FC |
| 09/03/21 Thailand Premier League | Rayong FC | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Prachuap FC |
| 21/11/20 Thailand Premier League | Prachuap FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Rayong FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BG Pathum United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Pattani FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ayutthaya United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bangkok United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Buriram United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Chiangrai Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Chonburi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Port FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Prachuap FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Rasi Salai United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Rayong FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sisaket United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sukhothai FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Uthai Thani FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rayong FC | Prachuap FC |
|---|---|---|
| Bangkok United | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Lamphun Warrior FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Uthai Thani FC | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Chonburi | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| BG Pathum United | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Nakhon Ratchasima | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Prachuap FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rayong FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/03 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/03 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 07/03 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/02 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
Prachuap FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 14/03 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 07/03 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/03 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/02 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rayong FC vs Prachuap FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Prachuap FC win (41%). Probabilities: Rayong FC 31%, draw 28%, Prachuap FC 41%.
How many goals are expected in Rayong FC vs Prachuap FC?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Rayong FC 1.16 · Prachuap FC 1.38), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rayong FC vs Prachuap FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.