Football · Thailand Premier League · 10/10, 13:30
Prediction: Buriram United vs Rayong FC
Team pages: Buriram United · Rayong FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Buriram United2.54
Rayong FC0.69
1X2
Buriram United
Draw
Rayong FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Buriram United
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Rayong FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Buriram United
3–2–1
Rayong FC
(6 last)
- Rayong FC3-0Buriram United
- Buriram United2-1Rayong FC
- Buriram United1-1Rayong FC
- Buriram United2-1Rayong FC
- Rayong FC1-1Buriram United
- Rayong FC0-2Buriram United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Buriram United 1602 · Rayong FC 1492
| Buriram United | Draw | Rayong FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 78% | 14% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Buriram United (rating 1602 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Buriram United: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Buriram United | Rayong FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.6 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Buriram United 3–2–1 Rayong FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Thailand Premier League | Rayong FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Buriram United |
| 26/10/25 Thailand Premier League | Buriram United | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Rayong FC |
| 10/08/25 World Club Friendlies | Buriram United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Rayong FC |
| 29/03/25 Thailand Premier League | Buriram United | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Rayong FC |
| 10/11/24 Thailand Premier League | Rayong FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Buriram United |
| 12/01/22 Thailand League Cup | Rayong FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Buriram United |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rayong FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Uthai Thani FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Prachuap FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bangkok United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Port FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | BG Pathum United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ratchaburi FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sukhothai FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasi Salai United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Buriram United | Rayong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Chonburi | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Lamphun Warrior FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Kanchanaburi Power | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Ratchaburi FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Buriram United (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Buriram United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Rayong FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/03 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Buriram United vs Rayong FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Buriram United win (77%). Probabilities: Buriram United 77%, draw 15%, Rayong FC 8%.
How many goals are expected in Buriram United vs Rayong FC?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Buriram United 2.54 · Rayong FC 0.69), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Buriram United vs Rayong FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.