Football · Thailand Premier League · 09/10, 13:00
Prediction: Ratchaburi FC vs Sukhothai FC
Team pages: Ratchaburi FC · Sukhothai FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Ratchaburi FC2.1
Sukhothai FC0.86
1X2
Ratchaburi FC
Draw
Sukhothai FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Ratchaburi FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Sukhothai FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ratchaburi FC
3–1–2
Sukhothai FC
(6 last)
- Sukhothai FC1-2Ratchaburi FC
- Ratchaburi FC1-0Sukhothai FC
- Sukhothai FC2-1Ratchaburi FC
- Ratchaburi FC2-2Sukhothai FC
- Sukhothai FC1-0Ratchaburi FC
- Ratchaburi FC3-1Sukhothai FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ratchaburi FC 1533 · Sukhothai FC 1445
| Ratchaburi FC | Draw | Sukhothai FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ratchaburi FC (rating 1533 vs 1445).
- H2H favours Ratchaburi FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ratchaburi FC | Sukhothai FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.1 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ratchaburi FC 3–1–2 Sukhothai FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Thailand Premier League | Sukhothai FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 05/12/25 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sukhothai FC |
| 15/03/25 Thailand Premier League | Sukhothai FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 02/11/24 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Sukhothai FC |
| 30/03/24 Thailand Premier League | Sukhothai FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 21/10/23 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Sukhothai FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rayong FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Uthai Thani FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Prachuap FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bangkok United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Port FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | BG Pathum United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ratchaburi FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sukhothai FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasi Salai United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ratchaburi FC | Sukhothai FC |
|---|---|---|
| Bangkok United | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Kanchanaburi Power | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Chiangrai Utd | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Buriram United | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ratchaburi FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ratchaburi FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Sukhothai FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 03/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ratchaburi FC vs Sukhothai FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ratchaburi FC win (66%). Probabilities: Ratchaburi FC 66%, draw 20%, Sukhothai FC 14%.
How many goals are expected in Ratchaburi FC vs Sukhothai FC?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Ratchaburi FC 2.1 · Sukhothai FC 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ratchaburi FC vs Sukhothai FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.