Football · Greece Super League 1 · 22/08, 21:00
Prediction: Olympiacos vs Atromitos Athinon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Olympiacos2.39
Atromitos Athinon0.56
1X2
Olympiacos
Draw
Atromitos Athinon
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Olympiacos
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Atromitos Athinon
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olympiacos
5–1–0
Atromitos Athinon
(6 last)
- Atromitos Athinon0-2Olympiacos
- Olympiacos3-0Atromitos Athinon
- Atromitos Athinon1-2Olympiacos
- Olympiacos2-0Atromitos Athinon
- Atromitos Athinon0-0Olympiacos
- Olympiacos4-0Atromitos Athinon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olympiacos 1522 · Atromitos Athinon 1476
| Olympiacos | Draw | Atromitos Athinon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 16% | 6% |
| Market | 77% | 17% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympiacos (rating 1522 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Olympiacos: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olympiacos | Atromitos Athinon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.6 | 3.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olympiacos 5–1–0 Atromitos Athinon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Olympiacos |
| 22/11/25 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 19/01/25 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Olympiacos |
| 29/09/24 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 21/12/23 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Olympiacos |
| 27/08/23 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kifisias FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AEK Athens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Levadiakos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aris Salonika | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Asteras Tripolis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OFI Crete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olympiacos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kalamata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Panetolikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PAOK Salonika | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Volos NFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olympiacos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | NEC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 04/08 | NEC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | AZ Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Antwerp Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Ajax Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/07 | Fortuna Sittard Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | OH Leuven Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 08/07 | Rakow Czestochowa Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Atromitos Athinon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Levadiakos Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/08 | AEL Limassol Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olympiacos vs Atromitos Athinon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olympiacos win (77%). Probabilities: Olympiacos 77%, draw 17%, Atromitos Athinon 6%.
How many goals are expected in Olympiacos vs Atromitos Athinon?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Olympiacos 2.39 · Atromitos Athinon 0.56), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Olympiacos vs Atromitos Athinon?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.