Football · Greece Super League 1 · 30/08, 19:15
Prediction: Atromitos Athinon vs PAOK Salonika
Team pages: Atromitos Athinon · PAOK Salonika
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Atromitos Athinon0.93
PAOK Salonika1.82
1X2
Atromitos Athinon
Draw
PAOK Salonika
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Atromitos Athinon
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
PAOK Salonika
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atromitos Athinon
1–1–4
PAOK Salonika
(6 last)
- PAOK Salonika1-1Atromitos Athinon
- Atromitos Athinon2-0PAOK Salonika
- PAOK Salonika1-0Atromitos Athinon
- PAOK Salonika3-0Atromitos Athinon
- Atromitos Athinon1-2PAOK Salonika
- Atromitos Athinon0-2PAOK Salonika
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atromitos Athinon 1492 · PAOK Salonika 1543
| Atromitos Athinon | Draw | PAOK Salonika | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| Market | 18% | 26% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PAOK Salonika (rating 1492 vs 1543).
- H2H favours PAOK Salonika: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atromitos Athinon | PAOK Salonika | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atromitos Athinon 1–1–4 PAOK Salonika
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/26 Greece Cup | PAOK Salonika | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 14/12/25 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 2-0 HT 1-0 | PAOK Salonika |
| 31/08/25 Greece Super League 1 | PAOK Salonika | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 22/12/24 Greece Super League 1 | PAOK Salonika | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 01/09/24 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 1-2 HT 0-1 | PAOK Salonika |
| 04/02/24 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 0-2 HT 0-0 | PAOK Salonika |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | PAOK Salonika | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Panetolikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Aris Salonika | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Kifisias FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Atromitos Athinon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Volos NFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atromitos Athinon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 21/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 08/04 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
PAOK Salonika
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 08/03 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atromitos Athinon vs PAOK Salonika?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PAOK Salonika win (57%). Probabilities: Atromitos Athinon 18%, draw 25%, PAOK Salonika 57%.
How many goals are expected in Atromitos Athinon vs PAOK Salonika?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Atromitos Athinon 0.93 · PAOK Salonika 1.82), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atromitos Athinon vs PAOK Salonika?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.