Football · Greece Super League 1 · 30/08, 18:30
Prediction: Aris Salonika vs OFI Crete
Team pages: Aris Salonika · OFI Crete
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Aris Salonika1.91
OFI Crete1.01
1X2
Aris Salonika
Draw
OFI Crete
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Aris Salonika
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
OFI Crete
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aris Salonika
3–1–2
OFI Crete
(6 last)
- Aris Salonika3-1OFI Crete
- OFI Crete0-2Aris Salonika
- Aris Salonika0-2OFI Crete
- OFI Crete3-0Aris Salonika
- OFI Crete1-1Aris Salonika
- Aris Salonika2-0OFI Crete
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aris Salonika (rating 1570 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Aris Salonika: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aris Salonika | OFI Crete | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 5.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aris Salonika 3–1–2 OFI Crete
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 3-1 HT 2-0 | OFI Crete |
| 03/05/26 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Aris Salonika |
| 22/03/26 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 0-2 HT 0-1 | OFI Crete |
| 04/10/25 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Aris Salonika |
| 03/05/25 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Aris Salonika |
| 05/04/25 Greece Super League 1 | Aris Salonika | 2-0 HT 0-0 | OFI Crete |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | PAOK Salonika | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Panetolikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Aris Salonika | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Kifisias FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Atromitos Athinon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Volos NFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aris Salonika | OFI Crete |
|---|---|---|
| Levadiakos | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Volos NFC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aris Salonika
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 05/04 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 14/03 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/03 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
OFI Crete
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 13 | L |
| 10/05 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/04 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 08/03 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aris Salonika vs OFI Crete?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aris Salonika win (57%). Probabilities: Aris Salonika 57%, draw 24%, OFI Crete 18%.
How many goals are expected in Aris Salonika vs OFI Crete?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Aris Salonika 1.91 · OFI Crete 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aris Salonika vs OFI Crete?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.