Football · Greece Super League 1 · 30/08, 20:00
Prediction: Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos
Team pages: Asteras Tripolis · Olympiacos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Asteras Tripolis1.12
Olympiacos1.04
1X2
Asteras Tripolis
Draw
Olympiacos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Asteras Tripolis
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Olympiacos
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Asteras Tripolis
1–1–4
Olympiacos
(6 last)
- Asteras Tripolis0-3Olympiacos
- Asteras Tripolis1-2Olympiacos
- Olympiacos2-0Asteras Tripolis
- Olympiacos1-1Asteras Tripolis
- Asteras Tripolis1-0Olympiacos
- Olympiacos2-1Asteras Tripolis
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympiacos (rating 1494 vs 1537).
- H2H favours Olympiacos: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Asteras Tripolis | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.6 | 3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Asteras Tripolis 1–1–4 Olympiacos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/26 Greece Super League 1 | Asteras Tripolis | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Olympiacos |
| 24/09/25 Greece Cup | Asteras Tripolis | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Olympiacos |
| 23/08/25 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 09/02/25 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 27/10/24 Greece Super League 1 | Asteras Tripolis | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Olympiacos |
| 25/02/24 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Asteras Tripolis |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | PAOK Salonika | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Panetolikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Aris Salonika | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Kifisias FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Atromitos Athinon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Volos NFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Asteras Tripolis | Olympiacos |
|---|---|---|
| Larissa | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Atromitos Athinon | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Asteras Tripolis (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Asteras Tripolis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 21/05 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 10 | W |
| 09/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 08/04 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Olympiacos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 05/04 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 08/03 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Asteras Tripolis win (36%). Probabilities: Asteras Tripolis 36%, draw 32%, Olympiacos 32%.
How many goals are expected in Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Asteras Tripolis 1.12 · Olympiacos 1.04), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.