Football · South Korea Cup · 29/07, 12:00

Prediction: Yeoju vs Dangjin Citizen FC

Team pages: Yeoju · Dangjin Citizen FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Yeoju1.41
Dangjin Citizen FC1.41
1X2
37% 26% 37%
Yeoju Draw Dangjin Citizen FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yeoju 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWLLWDWLDD
Dangjin Citizen FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWLDWDDWWW
Head-to-head
Yeoju 0–1–2 Dangjin Citizen FC (3 last)
  • Yeoju2-2Dangjin Citizen FC
  • Dangjin Citizen FC4-1Yeoju
  • Yeoju1-5Dangjin Citizen FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yeoju 1506 · Dangjin Citizen FC 1544
YeojuDrawDangjin Citizen FC
Our model36%28%36%
Market38%25%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Dangjin Citizen FC: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

YeojuDangjin Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.22.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.51 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 2.82.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 03.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yeoju 012 Dangjin Citizen FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
South Korea K3 League
Yeoju2-2
HT 0-2
Dangjin Citizen FC
13/08/23
South Korea K4 League
Dangjin Citizen FC4-1
HT 1-0
Yeoju
09/04/23
South Korea K4 League
Yeoju1-5
HT 1-2
Dangjin Citizen FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYeojuDangjin Citizen FC
Gangneung City 1-1 D 5-2 W
Ulsan Citizen FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Changwon City 2-2 D 1-2 L
Yangpyeong FC 2-1 W 3-1 W
Siheung City AC 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dangjin Citizen FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yeoju

DWLLWDWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Gangneung City
South Korea K3 League
0-0 1-1 14 D
15/07 Gyeongnam FC
South Korea Cup
0-0 0-0 54 D
10/07 Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korea K3 League
0-0 0-1 22 L
05/07 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea Cup
3-1 3-1 45 W
27/06 Changwon City
South Korea K3 League
0-1 2-2 31 D
20/06 Yangpyeong FC
South Korea K3 League
0-1 2-1 29 W
14/06 Busan Trans Corp
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
0-1 0-2 23 L
07/06 Siheung City AC
South Korea K3 League
0-0 0-1 46 L
31/05 Daejeon Korail
South Korea K3 League
1-0 1-0 24 W
27/05 Sejong SA
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
2-1 3-3 31 D

Dangjin Citizen FC

LWLDWDDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Mokpo City
South Korea K3 League
2-1 6-1 34 W
18/07 Jeonbuk Motors II
South Korea K3 League
1-0 2-0 83 W
15/07 Yongin FC
South Korea Cup
1-0 2-0 43 W
11/07 Pocheon Citizen FC
South Korea K3 League
1-0 1-1 72 D
04/07 Haman
South Korea Cup
0-0 0-0 156 D
28/06 Gangneung City
South Korea K3 League
3-1 5-2 21 W
20/06 Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korea K3 League
1-1 1-1 65 D
06/06 Changwon City
South Korea K3 League
0-0 1-2 21 L
30/05 Yangpyeong FC
South Korea K3 League
1-1 3-1 66 W
27/05 Siheung City AC
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
0-1 0-1 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yeoju vs Dangjin Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yeoju win (37%). Probabilities: Yeoju 37%, draw 26%, Dangjin Citizen FC 37%.

How many goals are expected in Yeoju vs Dangjin Citizen FC?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Yeoju 1.41 · Dangjin Citizen FC 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Yeoju vs Dangjin Citizen FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.