Football · South Korea Cup · 29/07, 12:00
Prediction: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon FC
Team pages: Gimcheon Sangmu FC · Suwon FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1.79
Suwon FC1.84
1X2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Draw
Suwon FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Suwon FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
3–1–2
Suwon FC
(6 last)
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC3-2Suwon FC
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-1Suwon FC
- Suwon FC3-2Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-0Suwon FC
- Suwon FC2-4Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC2-3Suwon FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suwon FC (rating 1487 vs 1549).
- H2H favours Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Suwon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 2.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4.4 | 2.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.4 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–1–2 Suwon FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Suwon FC |
| 01/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Suwon FC |
| 12/04/25 South Korea K League 1 | Suwon FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 02/11/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Suwon FC |
| 21/09/24 South Korea K League 1 | Suwon FC | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 09/07/24 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Suwon FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
Suwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/07 | Pyeongchang United South Korea Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Suwon FC win (39%). Probabilities: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 37%, draw 24%, Suwon FC 39%.
How many goals are expected in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon FC?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.79 · Suwon FC 1.84), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.