Football · South Korea Cup · 29/07, 12:00

Prediction: Busan Trans Corp vs Jinju Citizen FC

Team pages: Busan Trans Corp · Jinju Citizen FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Busan Trans Corp1.58
Jinju Citizen FC1.25
1X2
44% 26% 29%
Busan Trans Corp Draw Jinju Citizen FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Busan Trans Corp 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
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Jinju Citizen FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Busan Trans Corp 1567 · Jinju Citizen FC 1562
Busan Trans CorpDrawJinju Citizen FC
Our model44%27%29%
Market45%26%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Busan Trans CorpJinju Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.82.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.61 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.62.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.23.5 / 0.1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Busan Trans Corp

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Yangpyeong FC
South Korea K3 League
1-2 4-2 44 W
15/07 Suwon Bluewings
South Korea Cup
0-1 1-1 72 D
11/07 Siheung City AC
South Korea K3 League
2-0 2-0 10 W
05/07 Gijang United
South Korea Cup
2-1 2-1 63 W
28/06 Daejeon Korail
South Korea K3 League
0-1 0-1 74 L
21/06 Gyeongju HNP
South Korea K3 League
0-1 1-1 52 D
14/06 Yeoju
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
1-0 2-0 43 W
06/06 Pocheon Citizen FC
South Korea K3 League
0-0 1-1 23 D
30/05 Jeonbuk Motors II
South Korea K3 League
1-0 2-1 52 W
27/05 Gijang United
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
1-0 3-0 53 W

Jinju Citizen FC

WLLWWWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 2-0 56 W
15/07 Ansan Greeners FC
South Korea Cup
1-0 2-0 54 W
04/07 Sejong SA
South Korea Cup
0-1 1-1 156 D
27/06 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-0 102 W
21/06 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-1 82 W
06/06 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-0 54 W
31/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
2-0 4-1 67 W
27/05 Gyeongju HNP
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
0-2 2-3 51 L
23/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
1-3 2-6 52 L
16/05 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
3-0 4-0 12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Busan Trans Corp vs Jinju Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Busan Trans Corp win (44%). Probabilities: Busan Trans Corp 44%, draw 26%, Jinju Citizen FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Busan Trans Corp vs Jinju Citizen FC?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Busan Trans Corp 1.58 · Jinju Citizen FC 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Busan Trans Corp vs Jinju Citizen FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.