Football · South Korea Cup · 29/07, 12:00
Prediction: Bucheon vs Paju Frontier FC
Team pages: Bucheon · Paju Frontier FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Bucheon1.53
Paju Frontier FC0.84
1X2
Bucheon
Draw
Paju Frontier FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bucheon
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Paju Frontier FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bucheon 1473 · Paju Frontier FC 1465
| Bucheon | Draw | Paju Frontier FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bucheon | Paju Frontier FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 1.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bucheon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 05/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Paju Frontier FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/07 | Gangneung City South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bucheon vs Paju Frontier FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bucheon win (54%). Probabilities: Bucheon 54%, draw 25%, Paju Frontier FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Bucheon vs Paju Frontier FC?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Bucheon 1.53 · Paju Frontier FC 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bucheon vs Paju Frontier FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.