Football · South Korea Cup · 29/07, 12:00

Prediction: Busan I Park vs FC Seoul

Team pages: Busan I Park · FC Seoul

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Busan I Park1.26
FC Seoul2.22
1X2
19% 23% 58%
Busan I Park Draw FC Seoul
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Busan I Park 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWDDWWLL
FC Seoul 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDLWWWDWWL
Head-to-head
Busan I Park 2–3–1 FC Seoul (6 last)
  • FC Seoul1-2Busan I Park
  • FC Seoul1-1Busan I Park
  • Busan I Park2-0FC Seoul
  • FC Seoul1-1Busan I Park
  • Busan I Park1-3FC Seoul
  • FC Seoul0-0Busan I Park
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Busan I Park 1517 · FC Seoul 1523
Busan I ParkDrawFC Seoul
Our model20%22%58%
Market19%24%57%
Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Busan I Park: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Busan I ParkFC Seoul
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.41.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.80.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.23.2 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.13.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Busan I Park 231 FC Seoul

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/10/20
South Korea K League 1
FC Seoul1-2
HT 0-1
Busan I Park
05/09/20
South Korea K League 1
FC Seoul1-1
HT 1-0
Busan I Park
10/07/20
South Korea K League 1
Busan I Park2-0
HT 0-0
FC Seoul
09/12/18
South Korea K League Play Offs
FC Seoul1-1
HT 0-1
Busan I Park
06/12/18
South Korea K League Play Offs
Busan I Park1-3
HT 1-0
FC Seoul
17/05/17
South Korea Cup
FC Seoul0-0
HT 0-0
Busan I Park

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Busan I Park

WWLWDDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Suwon Bluewings
South Korea K League 2
1-1 1-4 65 L
18/07 Seongnam FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-1 54 L
15/07 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea Cup
1-0 4-0 01 W
12/07 Gimpo FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 2-0 53 W
05/07 Jeonnam Dragons
South Korea K League 2
0-2 3-3 14 D
05/06 Chungnam Asan FC
South Korea K League 2
2-2 2-2 34 D
30/05 Paju Frontier FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 4-1 82 W
17/05 Hwaseong FC
South Korea K League 2
2-2 2-3 61 L
10/05 Cheonan City
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-0 33 W
03/05 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-0 56 W

FC Seoul

LDLWWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
0-2 1-3 83 L
22/07 Pohang Steelers
South Korea K League 1
1-0 3-1 71 W
19/07 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
1-0 3-1 47 W
12/07 Gangwon FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 43 D
05/07 Incheon Utd
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-0 34 W
16/05 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-1 66 W
12/05 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-0 93 W
09/05 Jeju United
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-2 123 L
05/05 FC Anyang
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 36 D
02/05 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
1-1 2-3 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Busan I Park vs FC Seoul?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Seoul win (58%). Probabilities: Busan I Park 19%, draw 23%, FC Seoul 58%.

How many goals are expected in Busan I Park vs FC Seoul?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Busan I Park 1.26 · FC Seoul 2.22), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Busan I Park vs FC Seoul?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.