Football · South Korea Cup · 29/07, 12:00

Prediction: Incheon Utd vs Gimpo FC

Team pages: Incheon Utd · Gimpo FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Incheon Utd1.83
Gimpo FC0.79
1X2
62% 23% 15%
Incheon Utd Draw Gimpo FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Incheon Utd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLWLLWWD
Gimpo FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWDLLWDD
Head-to-head
Incheon Utd 1–1–1 Gimpo FC (3 last)
  • Incheon Utd1-2Gimpo FC
  • Gimpo FC1-1Incheon Utd
  • Incheon Utd3-0Gimpo FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Incheon Utd 1504 · Gimpo FC 1525
Incheon UtdDrawGimpo FC
Our model61%24%15%
Market62%22%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Incheon UtdGimpo FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.61.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.62 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.23.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Incheon Utd 111 Gimpo FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
20/09/25
South Korea K League 2
Incheon Utd1-2
HT 0-0
Gimpo FC
29/06/25
South Korea K League 2
Gimpo FC1-1
HT 1-0
Incheon Utd
04/05/25
South Korea K League 2
Incheon Utd3-0
HT 1-0
Gimpo FC

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Incheon Utd

LDWLWLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-1 86 D
21/07 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
1-1 2-1 25 W
18/07 Jeonbuk Motors
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-0 21 W
12/07 FC Anyang
South Korea K League 1
0-1 0-1 55 L
05/07 FC Seoul
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-1 34 L
16/05 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
2-0 4-0 52 W
12/05 Pohang Steelers
South Korea K League 1
0-1 0-1 74 L
09/05 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
2-0 3-0 46 W
05/05 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 71 D
02/05 Gangwon FC
South Korea K League 1
0-1 0-1 35 L

Gimpo FC

DWWWDLLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Yongin FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-1 85 D
18/07 Daegu FC
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-1 102 D
15/07 Namyangju FC
South Korea Cup
0-1 2-1 42 W
12/07 Busan I Park
South Korea K League 2
0-1 0-2 43 L
05/07 Chungnam Asan FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 0-2 45 L
07/06 Jeonnam Dragons
South Korea K League 2
2-1 2-2 76 D
30/05 Gimhae FC 2008
South Korea K League 2
1-1 2-1 74 W
25/05 Paju Frontier FC
South Korea K League 2
0-0 1-0 41 W
16/05 Ansan Greeners FC
South Korea K League 2
1-0 1-0 23 W
09/05 Chungbuk Cheongju
South Korea K League 2
0-1 1-1 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Incheon Utd vs Gimpo FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Incheon Utd win (62%). Probabilities: Incheon Utd 62%, draw 23%, Gimpo FC 15%.

How many goals are expected in Incheon Utd vs Gimpo FC?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Incheon Utd 1.83 · Gimpo FC 0.79), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Incheon Utd vs Gimpo FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.