Football · Hungary NB III · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: DEAC vs Fuzesabonyi SC

Team pages: DEAC · Fuzesabonyi SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

DEAC2.19

Fuzesabonyi SC1

1X2

64% 21% 15%

DEAC Draw Fuzesabonyi SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

DEAC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDLDWL

Fuzesabonyi SC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLWWLW

Head-to-head

DEAC 3–0 Fuzesabonyi SC (3 last)

Fuzesabonyi SC1-4DEAC
DEAC2-0Fuzesabonyi SC
DEAC4-0Fuzesabonyi SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · DEAC 1539 · Fuzesabonyi SC 1495

	DEAC	Draw	Fuzesabonyi SC
Our model	64%	21%	15%
Market	64%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours DEAC (rating 1539 vs 1495).
H2H favours DEAC: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	DEAC	Fuzesabonyi SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.4	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.5	2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:08 +10’	1.40	4.33	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · DEAC 3–0–0 Fuzesabonyi SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Hungary NB III	Fuzesabonyi SC	1-4 HT 1-3	DEAC
02/11/25 Hungary NB III	DEAC	2-0 HT 2-0	Fuzesabonyi SC
30/03/25 Hungary NB III	DEAC	4-0 HT 3-0	Fuzesabonyi SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cigand SE	9	7	1	1	22	7	22
2	Ozd Sajovolgye	9	7	0	2	23	8	21
3	DEAC	9	5	2	2	22	13	17
4	Diosgyori VTK II	9	4	4	1	17	12	16
5	Godolloi SK	9	5	0	4	12	10	15
6	Fuzesabonyi SC	9	5	0	4	10	8	15
7	Mateszalkai MTK	9	4	3	2	15	12	15
8	Kisvarda II	9	3	5	1	13	11	14
9	Debreceni II	9	4	1	4	23	20	13
10	Egri FC	9	4	1	4	10	20	13
11	FC Tiszaujvaros	9	4	0	5	10	11	12
12	Hajdunanas FK	9	3	1	5	17	18	10
13	Tiszafured VSE	9	3	0	6	6	13	9
14	Salgotarjani BTC	9	2	0	7	6	15	6
15	Tarpa SC	9	2	0	7	7	20	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	9	1	0	8	10	25	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	DEAC	Fuzesabonyi SC
Diosgyori VTK II	2-5 L	1-3 L
Hajdunanas FK	4-0 W	1-0 W
Mateszalkai MTK	1-1 D	3-0 W
Godolloi SK	1-2 L	0-1 L
Kisvarda II	1-1 D	0-1 L
Debreceni II	3-2 W	2-1 W
Tarpa SC	4-0 W	1-2 L
Nyiregyhaza II	4-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: DEAC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

DEAC

WWWWWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-2	2-5	2	6	L
19/09	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
05/09	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
30/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	7	0	L
26/08	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
08/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
26/07	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/05	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	–	–	W

Fuzesabonyi SC

DLWWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
06/09	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
29/08	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
26/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
15/08	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
08/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/07	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
24/05	Senyo Carnifex Hungary NB III	2-0	2-2	2	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in DEAC vs Fuzesabonyi SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a DEAC win (64%). Probabilities: DEAC 64%, draw 21%, Fuzesabonyi SC 15%.

How many goals are expected in DEAC vs Fuzesabonyi SC?

The model expects 3.2 goals (DEAC 2.19 · Fuzesabonyi SC 1), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in DEAC vs Fuzesabonyi SC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.