Football · Hungary NB III · 03/10, 11:00

Prediction: Egri FC vs Diosgyori VTK II

Team pages: Egri FC · Diosgyori VTK II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Egri FC1.72

Diosgyori VTK II1.78

1X2

37% 24% 39%

Egri FC Draw Diosgyori VTK II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Egri FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLDLLL

Diosgyori VTK II 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWDDDWWW

Head-to-head

Egri FC 2–2–1 Diosgyori VTK II (5 last)

Diosgyori VTK II2-2Egri FC
Egri FC2-1Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II0-0Egri FC
Diosgyori VTK II2-1Egri FC
Diosgyori VTK II0-2Egri FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Egri FC 1462 · Diosgyori VTK II 1538

	Egri FC	Draw	Diosgyori VTK II
Our model	37%	24%	39%
Market	37%	24%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diosgyori VTK II (rating 1462 vs 1538).
H2H favours Egri FC: 2-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Egri FC	Diosgyori VTK II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.4	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/22/44%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.8	2.3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.70

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +12’	2.45	3.70	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Egri FC 2–2–1 Diosgyori VTK II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/11/25 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	2-2 HT 0-1	Egri FC
06/08/25 Hungary NB III	Egri FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Diosgyori VTK II
13/04/25 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	0-0 HT 0-0	Egri FC
22/08/21 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	2-1 HT 1-1	Egri FC
30/05/21 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	0-2	Egri FC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cigand SE	9	7	1	1	22	7	22
2	Ozd Sajovolgye	9	7	0	2	23	8	21
3	DEAC	9	5	2	2	22	13	17
4	Diosgyori VTK II	9	4	4	1	17	12	16
5	Godolloi SK	9	5	0	4	12	10	15
6	Fuzesabonyi SC	9	5	0	4	10	8	15
7	Mateszalkai MTK	9	4	3	2	15	12	15
8	Kisvarda II	9	3	5	1	13	11	14
9	Debreceni II	9	4	1	4	23	20	13
10	Egri FC	9	4	1	4	10	20	13
11	FC Tiszaujvaros	9	4	0	5	10	11	12
12	Hajdunanas FK	9	3	1	5	17	18	10
13	Tiszafured VSE	9	3	0	6	6	13	9
14	Salgotarjani BTC	9	2	0	7	6	15	6
15	Tarpa SC	9	2	0	7	7	20	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	9	1	0	8	10	25	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Egri FC	Diosgyori VTK II
Hajdunanas FK	1-5 L	2-2 D
Mateszalkai MTK	0-3 L	2-2 D
Godolloi SK	0-4 L	1-0 W
Kisvarda II	1-1 D	2-2 D
Debreceni II	2-5 L	0-0 D
Nyiregyhaza II	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Diosgyori VTK II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Egri FC

LWWWWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	0-2	1-5	7	2	L
19/09	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-4	2	2	L
29/08	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	1	7	D
26/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-5	4	4	L
15/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/08	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
09/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/07	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/05	Putnok Hungary NB III	1-1	1-4	–	–	L

Diosgyori VTK II

WLDWDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	DEAC Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	5	6	W
19/09	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	10	1	D
26/08	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
09/08	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
24/05	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Egri FC vs Diosgyori VTK II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Diosgyori VTK II win (39%). Probabilities: Egri FC 37%, draw 24%, Diosgyori VTK II 39%.

How many goals are expected in Egri FC vs Diosgyori VTK II?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Egri FC 1.72 · Diosgyori VTK II 1.78), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Egri FC vs Diosgyori VTK II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.