Football · Hungary NB III · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: FC Tiszaujvaros vs Kisvarda II

Team pages: FC Tiszaujvaros · Kisvarda II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

FC Tiszaujvaros1.13

Kisvarda II1.75

1X2

24% 24% 52%

FC Tiszaujvaros Draw Kisvarda II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Tiszaujvaros 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLWWWL

Kisvarda II 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDDWWDDL

Head-to-head

FC Tiszaujvaros 3–3–0 Kisvarda II (6 last)

FC Tiszaujvaros1-1Kisvarda II
Kisvarda II1-1FC Tiszaujvaros
Kisvarda II1-2FC Tiszaujvaros
Kisvarda II1-2FC Tiszaujvaros
FC Tiszaujvaros3-1Kisvarda II
Kisvarda II1-1FC Tiszaujvaros

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Tiszaujvaros 1503 · Kisvarda II 1521

	FC Tiszaujvaros	Draw	Kisvarda II
Our model	23%	26%	51%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Tiszaujvaros: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Tiszaujvaros	Kisvarda II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.6 / 3.6	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.60

X4.00

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
X	3.75 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 1.73▼	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:16 +9’	2.70	3.75	2.10
15:14 +3’	3.60▲	4.00▲	1.73▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tiszaujvaros 3–3–0 Kisvarda II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Hungary NB III	FC Tiszaujvaros	1-1 HT 0-0	Kisvarda II
25/10/25 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Tiszaujvaros
18/05/25 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Tiszaujvaros
12/05/24 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Tiszaujvaros
19/02/23 Hungary NB III	FC Tiszaujvaros	3-1 HT 3-0	Kisvarda II
14/08/22 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Tiszaujvaros

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	8	7	0	1	22	6	21
2	Cigand SE	8	7	0	1	21	6	21
3	DEAC	8	5	2	1	20	8	17
4	Godolloi SK	8	5	0	3	12	9	15
5	Egri FC	8	4	1	3	9	15	13
6	Diosgyori VTK II	8	3	4	1	12	10	13
7	Fuzesabonyi SC	8	4	0	4	9	8	12
8	Mateszalkai MTK	8	3	3	2	13	11	12
9	Debreceni II	8	3	1	4	20	19	10
10	Kisvarda II	7	2	4	1	11	10	10
11	FC Tiszaujvaros	7	3	0	4	9	10	9
12	Tiszafured VSE	8	3	0	5	5	10	9
13	Hajdunanas FK	8	2	1	5	12	17	7
14	Salgotarjani BTC	8	2	0	6	6	14	6
15	Nyiregyhaza II	8	1	0	7	10	23	3
16	Tarpa SC	8	1	0	7	5	20	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Tiszaujvaros	Kisvarda II
Cigand SE	1-3 L	2-0 W
Ozd Sajovolgye	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kisvarda II (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Tiszaujvaros

DLDLLLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	3	6	L
29/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
26/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
12/08	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
25/07	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
24/05	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
17/05	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-4	0	6	L
10/05	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	7	6	D

Kisvarda II

DWDDDWWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	9	7	D
26/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-0	3-2	4	5	W
09/08	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
26/07	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
17/05	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
10/05	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Tiszaujvaros vs Kisvarda II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kisvarda II win (52%). Probabilities: FC Tiszaujvaros 24%, draw 24%, Kisvarda II 52%.

How many goals are expected in FC Tiszaujvaros vs Kisvarda II?

The model expects 2.88 goals (FC Tiszaujvaros 1.13 · Kisvarda II 1.75), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Tiszaujvaros vs Kisvarda II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.