Football · Hungary NB III · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: FC Tiszaujvaros vs Diosgyori VTK II

Team pages: FC Tiszaujvaros · Diosgyori VTK II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

FC Tiszaujvaros1.68

Diosgyori VTK II1.57

1X2

40% 25% 35%

FC Tiszaujvaros Draw Diosgyori VTK II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Tiszaujvaros 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLWDW

Diosgyori VTK II 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDDWWWLL

Head-to-head

FC Tiszaujvaros 5–1 Diosgyori VTK II (6 last)

Diosgyori VTK II1-3FC Tiszaujvaros
FC Tiszaujvaros2-1Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II0-1FC Tiszaujvaros
FC Tiszaujvaros2-0Diosgyori VTK II
FC Tiszaujvaros2-0Diosgyori VTK II
FC Tiszaujvaros1-4Diosgyori VTK II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Tiszaujvaros 1548 · Diosgyori VTK II 1508

	FC Tiszaujvaros	Draw	Diosgyori VTK II
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tiszaujvaros (rating 1548 vs 1508).
H2H favours FC Tiszaujvaros: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Tiszaujvaros	Diosgyori VTK II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2.8	2.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +31’	2.25	3.60	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tiszaujvaros 5–0–1 Diosgyori VTK II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	1-3 HT 0-1	FC Tiszaujvaros
10/08/25 Hungary NB III	FC Tiszaujvaros	2-1 HT 0-0	Diosgyori VTK II
07/08/24 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Tiszaujvaros
02/08/23 Hungary NB III	FC Tiszaujvaros	2-0 HT 2-0	Diosgyori VTK II
29/03/23 Hungary NB III	FC Tiszaujvaros	2-0 HT 0-0	Diosgyori VTK II
13/07/22 Europe Friendlies	FC Tiszaujvaros	1-4 HT 0-3	Diosgyori VTK II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cigand SE	11	8	2	1	25	9	26
2	Ozd Sajovolgye	10	8	0	2	32	8	24
3	DEAC	11	7	2	2	29	14	23
4	Godolloi SK	11	6	1	4	17	12	19
5	Egri FC	11	5	2	4	13	22	17
6	Kisvarda II	10	4	5	1	15	11	17
7	Debreceni II	10	5	1	4	25	21	16
8	Fuzesabonyi SC	11	5	1	5	11	12	16
9	Diosgyori VTK II	10	4	4	2	18	14	16
10	Mateszalkai MTK	11	4	4	3	17	15	16
11	FC Tiszaujvaros	10	4	1	5	12	13	13
12	Hajdunanas FK	10	3	1	6	17	27	10
13	Salgotarjani BTC	11	3	0	8	8	19	9
14	Tiszafured VSE	11	3	0	8	6	18	9
15	Tarpa SC	10	2	0	8	8	22	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	10	1	0	9	10	26	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Tiszaujvaros	Diosgyori VTK II
Hajdunanas FK	3-1 W	2-2 D
Mateszalkai MTK	2-2 D	2-2 D
Godolloi SK	1-0 W	1-0 W
Kisvarda II	0-1 L	2-2 D
Debreceni II	1-3 L	0-0 D
Salgotarjani BTC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Diosgyori VTK II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Tiszaujvaros

LLWWWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
03/10	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	5	5	D
26/09	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
05/09	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	3	6	L
29/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
26/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/08	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	–	–	L

Diosgyori VTK II

DWDDDWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
03/10	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	DEAC Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	5	6	W
19/09	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	10	1	D
26/08	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Tiszaujvaros vs Diosgyori VTK II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tiszaujvaros win (40%). Probabilities: FC Tiszaujvaros 40%, draw 25%, Diosgyori VTK II 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Tiszaujvaros vs Diosgyori VTK II?

The model expects 3.25 goals (FC Tiszaujvaros 1.68 · Diosgyori VTK II 1.57), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Tiszaujvaros vs Diosgyori VTK II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.