Football · Hungary NB III · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Erdi VSE vs PEAC FC

Team pages: Erdi VSE · PEAC FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Erdi VSE1.71

PEAC FC1.41

1X2

44% 25% 31%

Erdi VSE Draw PEAC FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Erdi VSE 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLDWLWL

PEAC FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDDDDL

Head-to-head

Erdi VSE 1–2 PEAC FC (3 last)

PEAC FC1-0Erdi VSE
Erdi VSE2-0PEAC FC
PEAC FC2-0Erdi VSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Erdi VSE 1462 · PEAC FC 1512

	Erdi VSE	Draw	PEAC FC
Our model	44%	26%	31%
Market	44%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PEAC FC (rating 1462 vs 1512).
H2H favours PEAC FC: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Erdi VSE	PEAC FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.4	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +23’	2.05	3.60	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Erdi VSE 1–0–2 PEAC FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Erdi VSE
28/09/25 Hungary NB III	Erdi VSE	2-0 HT 0-0	PEAC FC
03/03/24 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Erdi VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	10	9	1	0	30	4	28
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	10	6	1	3	24	14	19
3	Ferencvarosi TC II	10	5	3	2	23	14	18
4	Budafoki MTE	10	5	2	3	20	15	17
5	Dunaharaszti MTK	11	5	2	4	21	20	17
6	PEAC FC	10	4	4	2	16	13	16
7	Ivancsa	10	5	0	5	21	21	15
8	Majosi SE	10	4	3	3	21	21	15
9	BFC Siofok	9	4	2	3	16	11	14
10	MTK Budapest II	8	4	0	4	21	14	12
11	Erdi VSE	9	3	3	3	21	21	12
12	Budaorsi SC	10	3	3	4	17	27	12
13	Paksi SE II	11	1	4	6	20	24	7
14	Sarbogard SE	10	1	2	7	9	24	5
15	Szekszardi	10	0	0	10	5	42	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Erdi VSE	PEAC FC
Sarbogard SE	4-3 W	2-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC II	3-3 D	1-4 L
Majosi SE	2-3 L	1-1 D
Pecsi MFC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Dunaharaszti MTK	1-1 D	1-1 D
Paksi SE II	3-1 W	1-1 D
Budaorsi SC	3-3 D	6-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: PEAC FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Erdi VSE

DWDLLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	5	6	L
03/10	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
26/09	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	0-0	1-4	–	–	L
19/09	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	3-1	4-3	7	4	W
05/09	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-2	3-3	8	3	D
30/08	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
26/08	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
15/08	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
25/07	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	1-1	3-3	–	–	D

PEAC FC

WWLWWDDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-4	5	2	L
03/10	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
26/09	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
19/09	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
05/09	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	1	4	W
15/08	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
09/08	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/07	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Erdi VSE vs PEAC FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Erdi VSE win (44%). Probabilities: Erdi VSE 44%, draw 25%, PEAC FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Erdi VSE vs PEAC FC?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Erdi VSE 1.71 · PEAC FC 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Erdi VSE vs PEAC FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.