Football · Hungary NB III · 19/09, 17:00

Prediction: Pecsi MFC vs MTK Budapest II

Team pages: Pecsi MFC · MTK Budapest II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Pecsi MFC1.98
MTK Budapest II1.19
1X2
55% 23% 22%
Pecsi MFC Draw MTK Budapest II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Pecsi MFC 10-0-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWWW
MTK Budapest II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLWWLLWW
Head-to-head
Pecsi MFC 1–2–1 MTK Budapest II (4 last)
  • MTK Budapest II1-1Pecsi MFC
  • Pecsi MFC1-1MTK Budapest II
  • Pecsi MFC1-2MTK Budapest II
  • MTK Budapest II2-4Pecsi MFC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pecsi MFC 1640 · MTK Budapest II 1535
Pecsi MFCDrawMTK Budapest II
Our model55%24%22%
Market55%22%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pecsi MFC (rating 1640 vs 1535).
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pecsi MFCMTK Budapest II
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 0.52.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.41.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/33/11%44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.22.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.43.3 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pecsi MFC 121 MTK Budapest II

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Hungary NB III
MTK Budapest II1-1
HT 1-1
Pecsi MFC
19/10/25
Hungary NB III
Pecsi MFC1-1
HT 0-1
MTK Budapest II
11/05/25
Hungary NB III
Pecsi MFC1-2
HT 0-1
MTK Budapest II
27/10/24
Hungary NB III
MTK Budapest II2-4
HT 1-3
Pecsi MFC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pecsi MFC 7700 24221
2 Kaposvari Rakoczi 6501 19515
3 Budafoki MTE 6411 12513
4 PEAC FC 6411 12613
5 MTK Budapest II 6402 21912
6 Ferencvarosi TC II 6321 13811
7 BFC Siofok 7322 12811
8 Majosi SE 7313 131610
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 7214 10157
10 Budaorsi SC 7214 10247
11 Ivancsa 6204 10166
12 Erdi VSE 6132 13136
13 Sarbogard SE 7115 4154
14 Paksi SE II 7034 9173
15 Szekszardi 7007 2250

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPecsi MFCMTK Budapest II
Ivancsa 7-0 W 0-0 D
Dunaharaszti MTK 2-0 W 4-2 W
Dunaujvaros FC 2-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pecsi MFC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pecsi MFC

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Kaposvari Rakoczi
Hungary NB III
0-0 1-0 W
30/08 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
4-0 7-0 45 W
26/08 Erdi VSE
Hungary NB III
1-1 2-1 73 W
15/08 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
3-0 W
12/08 Sarbogard SE
Hungary NB III
2-0 6-0 W
08/08 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
2-0 3-1 W
25/07 Dunaharaszti MTK
Hungary NB III
1-0 2-0 W
24/05 Penzugyor SE
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-0 111 W
17/05 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
2-3 4-3 55 W
10/05 Dunaujvaros FC
Hungary NB III
0-0 2-0 44 W

MTK Budapest II

DDWLWWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Dunaharaszti MTK
Hungary NB III
1-2 4-2 44 W
29/08 Paksi SE II
Hungary NB III
2-1 4-2 33 W
15/08 Budaorsi SC
Hungary NB III
0-1 L
12/08 BFC Siofok
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-2 33 L
09/08 Szekszardi
Hungary NB III
2-0 8-0 60 W
26/07 Budafoki MTE
Hungary NB III
3-1 4-2 W
24/05 FC Nagykanizsa
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-1 L
17/05 Dunaujvaros FC
Hungary NB III
0-0 2-0 84 W
10/05 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-0 D
03/05 Pecsi MFC
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 29 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pecsi MFC vs MTK Budapest II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pecsi MFC win (55%). Probabilities: Pecsi MFC 55%, draw 23%, MTK Budapest II 22%.

How many goals are expected in Pecsi MFC vs MTK Budapest II?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Pecsi MFC 1.98 · MTK Budapest II 1.19), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pecsi MFC vs MTK Budapest II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.