Football · Hungary NB III · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Ivancsa vs MTK Budapest II

Team pages: Ivancsa · MTK Budapest II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Ivancsa1.66

MTK Budapest II1.66

1X2

38% 25% 38%

Ivancsa Draw MTK Budapest II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Ivancsa 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWWWL

MTK Budapest II 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Ivancsa 2–1–3 MTK Budapest II (6 last)

Ivancsa0-0MTK Budapest II
MTK Budapest II2-1Ivancsa
MTK Budapest II2-1Ivancsa
MTK Budapest II0-3Ivancsa
MTK Budapest II1-0Ivancsa
MTK Budapest II1-3Ivancsa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ivancsa 1492 · MTK Budapest II 1520

	Ivancsa	Draw	MTK Budapest II
Our model	38%	25%	38%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MTK Budapest II: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ivancsa	MTK Budapest II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.1	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.3	1.2 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.7	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.70

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +22’	2.38	3.70	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivancsa 2–1–3 MTK Budapest II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Hungary NB III	Ivancsa	0-0 HT 0-0	MTK Budapest II
26/10/25 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	2-1 HT 0-0	Ivancsa
22/09/24 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	2-1 HT 1-0	Ivancsa
31/03/24 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	0-3 HT 0-1	Ivancsa
09/10/22 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	1-0 HT 0-0	Ivancsa
03/10/21 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	1-3 HT 1-1	Ivancsa

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	10	9	1	0	30	4	28
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	10	6	1	3	24	14	19
3	Ferencvarosi TC II	10	5	3	2	23	14	18
4	Budafoki MTE	10	5	2	3	20	15	17
5	Dunaharaszti MTK	11	5	2	4	21	20	17
6	PEAC FC	10	4	4	2	16	13	16
7	Ivancsa	10	5	0	5	21	21	15
8	Majosi SE	10	4	3	3	21	21	15
9	BFC Siofok	9	4	2	3	16	11	14
10	MTK Budapest II	8	4	0	4	21	14	12
11	Erdi VSE	9	3	3	3	21	21	12
12	Budaorsi SC	10	3	3	4	17	27	12
13	Paksi SE II	11	1	4	6	20	24	7
14	Sarbogard SE	10	1	2	7	9	24	5
15	Szekszardi	10	0	0	10	5	42	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ivancsa	MTK Budapest II
Erdi VSE	4-1 W	3-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC II	3-2 W	0-2 L
Pecsi MFC	0-7 L	0-3 L
Dunaharaszti MTK	1-3 L	4-2 W
Paksi SE II	2-0 W	4-2 W
Budaorsi SC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Szekszardi	4-0 W	8-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MTK Budapest II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ivancsa

WLWLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	8	4	W
26/09	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	4-1	–	–	W
19/09	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	1-3	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-4	0-7	6	5	L
26/08	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	8	6	L
25/07	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	–	–	W

MTK Budapest II

LWWLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
03/10	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
06/09	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-2	4-2	4	4	W
29/08	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	2-1	4-2	3	3	W
15/08	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/08	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
09/08	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-0	8-0	–	–	W
26/07	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
24/05	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivancsa vs MTK Budapest II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ivancsa win (38%). Probabilities: Ivancsa 38%, draw 25%, MTK Budapest II 38%.

How many goals are expected in Ivancsa vs MTK Budapest II?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Ivancsa 1.66 · MTK Budapest II 1.66), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ivancsa vs MTK Budapest II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.