Football · Hungary NB III · 15/08, 17:30

Prediction: Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi VSE

Team pages: Dunaharaszti MTK · Erdi VSE

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Dunaharaszti MTK1.53
Erdi VSE1.73
1X2
33% 25% 42%
Dunaharaszti MTK Draw Erdi VSE
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dunaharaszti MTK 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
LLDDDDDLLW
Erdi VSE 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWDWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunaharaszti MTK 1468 · Erdi VSE 1551
Dunaharaszti MTKDrawErdi VSE
Our model33%25%42%
Market33%25%42%
Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Erdi VSE (rating 1468 vs 1551).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dunaharaszti MTKErdi VSE
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.82.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.21 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 3.83.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.15.4 / 0

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kaposvari Rakoczi 3300 1219
2 Pecsi MFC 3300 1119
3 MTK Budapest II 3201 1346
4 Ivancsa 3201 836
5 Budafoki MTE 3201 546
6 PEAC FC 3201 446
7 Erdi VSE 2110 644
8 Ferencvarosi TC II 2110 424
9 Budaorsi SC 3111 6114
10 BFC Siofok 3102 453
11 Dunaharaszti MTK 3102 253
12 Paksi SE II 3021 572
13 Majosi SE 3012 471
14 Dunaujvaros FC 1001 030
15 Sarbogard SE 3003 190
16 Szekszardi 3003 0150

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDunaharaszti MTKErdi VSE
Majosi SE 2-1 W 3-3 D
Bicskei TC 4-4 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunaharaszti MTK

LLDDDDDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
2-1 2-1 32 W
08/08 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-2 22 L
25/07 Pecsi MFC
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-2 33 L
19/07 Bicskei TC
Europe Friendlies
1-3 4-4 41 D
24/05 Bekescsabai Elore SE II
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-0 77 D
17/05 Vasas SC II
Hungary NB III
2-2 4-4 64 D
10/05 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-0 25 D
03/05 FC Dabas
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-0 D
26/04 Csepel FC
Hungary NB III
2-2 2-3 35 L
19/04 Monori SE
Hungary NB III
0-2 0-2 42 L

Erdi VSE

LWLWWWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Paksi SE II
Hungary NB III
3-0 3-1 54 W
25/07 Budaorsi SC
Hungary NB III
1-1 3-3 77 D
11/07 Bicskei TC
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-1 60 W
24/05 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
1-0 3-3 87 D
17/05 Kaposvari Rakoczi
Hungary NB III
2-0 2-1 W
10/05 BFC Siofok
Hungary NB III
1-0 2-1 28 W
02/05 Balatonlelle SE
Hungary NB III
1-2 3-2 87 W
26/04 FC Nagykanizsa
Hungary NB III
0-1 1-3 67 L
19/04 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
0-0 2-1 54 W
11/04 PEAC FC
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-1 25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Erdi VSE win (42%). Probabilities: Dunaharaszti MTK 33%, draw 25%, Erdi VSE 42%.

How many goals are expected in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi VSE?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Dunaharaszti MTK 1.53 · Erdi VSE 1.73), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi VSE?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.