Football · Hungary NB III · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: Dunaharaszti MTK vs BFC Siofok

Team pages: Dunaharaszti MTK · BFC Siofok

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Dunaharaszti MTK1.58
BFC Siofok1.58
1X2
37% 26% 37%
Dunaharaszti MTK Draw BFC Siofok
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunaharaszti MTK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLLWDWLLDW
BFC Siofok 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDLLWDDWWW
Head-to-head
Dunaharaszti MTK 0–1 BFC Siofok (1 last)
  • BFC Siofok2-0Dunaharaszti MTK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunaharaszti MTK 1496 · BFC Siofok 1559
Dunaharaszti MTKDrawBFC Siofok
Our model37%26%37%
Market37%26%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BFC Siofok (rating 1496 vs 1559).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dunaharaszti MTKBFC Siofok
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.82.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 11.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%56/11/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.81.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.34 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunaharaszti MTK 0–0–1 BFC Siofok

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/10/24
Hungary NB III
BFC Siofok2-0
HT 1-0
Dunaharaszti MTK

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pecsi MFC 10910 30428
2 Kaposvari Rakoczi 9513 231416
3 Budafoki MTE 9513 171216
4 PEAC FC 9441 15916
5 Ivancsa 9504 212015
6 Ferencvarosi TC II 9432 191315
7 BFC Siofok 9423 161114
8 Majosi SE 9423 181814
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10424 171914
10 MTK Budapest II 8404 211412
11 Erdi VSE 9333 212112
12 Budaorsi SC 9324 162611
13 Paksi SE II 10136 19236
14 Sarbogard SE 10127 9245
15 Szekszardi 9009 4380

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDunaharaszti MTKBFC Siofok
Budafoki MTE 4-2 W 0-0 D
PEAC FC 1-1 D 1-2 L
MTK Budapest II 2-4 L 2-1 W
Kaposvari Rakoczi 2-4 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunaharaszti MTK

DLLWDWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Budafoki MTE
Hungary NB III
0-1 4-2 82 W
19/09 PEAC FC
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 63 D
06/09 MTK Budapest II
Hungary NB III
2-1 2-4 14 L
29/08 Kaposvari Rakoczi
Hungary NB III
2-2 2-4 43 L
26/08 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
1-1 3-1 –– W
15/08 Erdi VSE
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 –– D
12/08 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
2-1 2-1 32 W
08/08 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-2 –– L
25/07 Pecsi MFC
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-2 –– L
24/05 Bekescsabai Elore SE II
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-0 77 D

BFC Siofok

WDLLWDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Paksi SE II
Hungary NB III
2-0 3-1 37 W
05/09 Budaorsi SC
Hungary NB III
2-1 4-1 23 W
29/08 Szekszardi
Hungary NB III
2-0 3-1 67 W
26/08 Sarbogard SE
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-1 –– D
15/08 Budafoki MTE
Hungary NB III
– 0-0 –– D
12/08 MTK Budapest II
Hungary NB III
0-1 2-1 43 W
09/08 PEAC FC
Hungary NB III
0-1 1-2 –– L
25/07 Kaposvari Rakoczi
Hungary NB III
0-2 1-2 –– L
24/05 PEAC FC
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 41 D
17/05 Dombovari FC
Hungary NB III
3-1 5-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunaharaszti MTK vs BFC Siofok?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunaharaszti MTK win (37%). Probabilities: Dunaharaszti MTK 37%, draw 26%, BFC Siofok 37%.

How many goals are expected in Dunaharaszti MTK vs BFC Siofok?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Dunaharaszti MTK 1.58 · BFC Siofok 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunaharaszti MTK vs BFC Siofok?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.