Football · Hungary NB III · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Majosi SE vs BFC Siofok

Team pages: Majosi SE · BFC Siofok

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Majosi SE1.94

BFC Siofok1.67

1X2

44% 24% 33%

Majosi SE Draw BFC Siofok

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Majosi SE 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWWWDD

BFC Siofok 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDWWWLL

Head-to-head

Majosi SE 1–2 BFC Siofok (3 last)

Majosi SE2-3BFC Siofok
BFC Siofok1-3Majosi SE
BFC Siofok2-1Majosi SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Majosi SE 1483 · BFC Siofok 1530

	Majosi SE	Draw	BFC Siofok
Our model	44%	23%	33%
Market	44%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BFC Siofok (rating 1483 vs 1530).
H2H favours BFC Siofok: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Majosi SE	BFC Siofok
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.1	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	1 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.75

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:43 +5’	2.05	3.75	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Majosi SE 1–0–2 BFC Siofok

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB III	Majosi SE	2-3 HT 1-2	BFC Siofok
31/08/25 Hungary NB III	BFC Siofok	1-3 HT 1-2	Majosi SE
11/05/25 Hungary NB III	BFC Siofok	2-1 HT 2-1	Majosi SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	10	9	1	0	30	4	28
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	10	6	1	3	24	14	19
3	Ferencvarosi TC II	10	5	3	2	23	14	18
4	Budafoki MTE	10	5	2	3	20	15	17
5	Dunaharaszti MTK	11	5	2	4	21	20	17
6	PEAC FC	10	4	4	2	16	13	16
7	Ivancsa	10	5	0	5	21	21	15
8	Majosi SE	10	4	3	3	21	21	15
9	BFC Siofok	9	4	2	3	16	11	14
10	MTK Budapest II	8	4	0	4	21	14	12
11	Erdi VSE	9	3	3	3	21	21	12
12	Budaorsi SC	10	3	3	4	17	27	12
13	Paksi SE II	11	1	4	6	20	24	7
14	Sarbogard SE	10	1	2	7	9	24	5
15	Szekszardi	10	0	0	10	5	42	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Majosi SE	BFC Siofok
Budafoki MTE	3-3 D	0-0 D
PEAC FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Kaposvari Rakoczi	4-1 W	1-2 L
Sarbogard SE	3-0 W	1-1 D
Dunaharaszti MTK	1-2 L	1-2 L
Pecsi MFC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Paksi SE II	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Majosi SE (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Majosi SE

DLLWLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	0-3	3-3	5	4	D
03/10	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	9	4	D
19/09	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	2-1	4-1	3	7	W
05/09	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	3-1	3-2	–	–	W
30/08	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
26/08	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-5	5	1	L
16/08	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/08	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
08/08	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
26/07	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

BFC Siofok

LLWDDWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
03/10	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
27/09	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
05/09	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-1	2	3	W
29/08	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	6	7	W
26/08	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/08	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
09/08	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/07	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Majosi SE vs BFC Siofok?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Majosi SE win (44%). Probabilities: Majosi SE 44%, draw 24%, BFC Siofok 33%.

How many goals are expected in Majosi SE vs BFC Siofok?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Majosi SE 1.94 · BFC Siofok 1.67), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Majosi SE vs BFC Siofok?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.