Football · Hungary NB III · 09/08, 17:30

Prediction: MTK Budapest II vs Szekszardi

Team pages: MTK Budapest II · Szekszardi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

MTK Budapest II2.95

Szekszardi0.95

1X2

78% 14% 8%

MTK Budapest II Draw Szekszardi

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

MTK Budapest II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDDWLW

Szekszardi 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDWLL

Head-to-head

MTK Budapest II 4–1–0 Szekszardi (5 last)

MTK Budapest II4-0Szekszardi
Szekszardi0-6MTK Budapest II
MTK Budapest II1-0Szekszardi
MTK Budapest II4-1Szekszardi
MTK Budapest II0-0Szekszardi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MTK Budapest II 1570 · Szekszardi 1395

	MTK Budapest II	Draw	Szekszardi
Our model	77%	14%	8%
Market	79%	13%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MTK Budapest II (rating 1570 vs 1395).
H2H favours MTK Budapest II: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MTK Budapest II	Szekszardi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.7	1.3 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.9	1.7 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.98

2 (+2.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
09:57 +4’	1.17	7.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MTK Budapest II 4–1–0 Szekszardi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	4-0 HT 1-0	Szekszardi
05/10/25 Hungary NB III	Szekszardi	0-6 HT 0-3	MTK Budapest II
13/04/25 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	1-0 HT 1-0	Szekszardi
13/08/23 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	4-1 HT 0-1	Szekszardi
10/11/21 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	0-0 HT 0-0	Szekszardi

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ivancsa	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
2	MTK Budapest II	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
3	Pecsi MFC	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
4	Kaposvari Rakoczi	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	PEAC FC	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
6	Budaorsi SC	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
6	Erdi VSE	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
8	Majosi SE	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
8	Paksi SE II	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
10	Dunaujvaros FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Ferencvarosi TC II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	BFC Siofok	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
12	Sarbogard SE	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
14	Budafoki MTE	1	0	0	1	2	4	0
15	Dunaharaszti MTK	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	Szekszardi	1	0	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MTK Budapest II	Szekszardi
Dunaujvaros FC	2-0 W	1-3 L
Ivancsa	0-0 D	0-4 L
Pecsi MFC	1-1 D	1-4 L
PEAC FC	3-1 W	0-2 L
Majosi SE	1-0 W	4-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MTK Budapest II (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MTK Budapest II

LWWWWDDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	3-1	4-2	1	3	W
24/05	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
17/05	Dunaujvaros FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
10/05	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	2	9	D
26/04	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
19/04	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	7	3	W
11/04	Dombovari FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/04	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
29/03	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	3	3	L

Szekszardi

LLLLLLDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	PEAC FC Hungary Cup	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
25/07	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	0-2	0-4	2	2	L
24/05	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	Penzugyor SE Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	6	11	D
10/05	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-0	2-3	3	5	L
03/05	Dunaujvaros FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
26/04	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
19/04	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	0	3	L
11/04	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	2-3	4-5	–	–	L
05/04	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MTK Budapest II vs Szekszardi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MTK Budapest II win (78%). Probabilities: MTK Budapest II 78%, draw 14%, Szekszardi 8%.

How many goals are expected in MTK Budapest II vs Szekszardi?

The model expects 3.9 goals (MTK Budapest II 2.95 · Szekszardi 0.95), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MTK Budapest II vs Szekszardi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.