Football · Hungary NB III · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Dunaharaszti MTK vs Budaorsi SC

Team pages: Dunaharaszti MTK · Budaorsi SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.03Total
Dunaharaszti MTK2.3
Budaorsi SC1.73
1X2
49% 23% 28%
Dunaharaszti MTK Draw Budaorsi SC
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunaharaszti MTK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWLLDWWW
Budaorsi SC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWLLLWDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunaharaszti MTK 1528 · Budaorsi SC 1477
Dunaharaszti MTKDrawBudaorsi SC
Our model50%21%29%
Market49%24%28%
Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunaharaszti MTK (rating 1528 vs 1477).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dunaharaszti MTKBudaorsi SC
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.81.7 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.91 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.71.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 0.24.3 / 0.3

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pecsi MFC 10910 30428
2 Kaposvari Rakoczi 10613 241419
3 Ferencvarosi TC II 10532 231418
4 Budafoki MTE 10523 201517
5 Dunaharaszti MTK 11524 212017
6 PEAC FC 10442 161316
7 Ivancsa 10505 212115
8 Majosi SE 10433 212115
9 BFC Siofok 9423 161114
10 MTK Budapest II 8404 211412
11 Erdi VSE 9333 212112
12 Budaorsi SC 10334 172712
13 Paksi SE II 11146 20247
14 Sarbogard SE 10127 9245
15 Szekszardi 100010 5420

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDunaharaszti MTKBudaorsi SC
Szekszardi 4-1 W 5-1 W
BFC Siofok 2-1 W 1-4 L
Budafoki MTE 4-2 W 1-3 L
PEAC FC 1-1 D 1-6 L
MTK Budapest II 2-4 L 1-0 W
Kaposvari Rakoczi 2-4 L 0-7 L
Ivancsa 3-1 W 3-1 W
Erdi VSE 1-1 D 3-3 D
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dunaharaszti MTK (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunaharaszti MTK

LWDWLLDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Szekszardi
Hungary NB III
2-0 4-1 60 W
03/10 BFC Siofok
Hungary NB III
0-0 2-1 –– W
26/09 Budafoki MTE
Hungary NB III
0-1 4-2 82 W
19/09 PEAC FC
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 63 D
06/09 MTK Budapest II
Hungary NB III
2-1 2-4 14 L
29/08 Kaposvari Rakoczi
Hungary NB III
2-2 2-4 43 L
26/08 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
1-1 3-1 –– W
15/08 Erdi VSE
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 –– D
12/08 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
2-1 2-1 32 W
08/08 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-2 –– L

Budaorsi SC

DLWWLLLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Paksi SE II
Hungary NB III
0-0 1-1 54 D
26/09 Sarbogard SE
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 –– D
19/09 Szekszardi
Hungary NB III
2-1 5-1 87 W
05/09 BFC Siofok
Hungary NB III
1-2 1-4 93 L
29/08 Budafoki MTE
Hungary NB III
1-2 1-3 14 L
26/08 PEAC FC
Hungary NB III
1-2 1-6 34 L
15/08 MTK Budapest II
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-0 –– W
12/08 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
2-0 3-1 16 W
08/08 Kaposvari Rakoczi
Hungary NB III
0-4 0-7 –– L
25/07 Erdi VSE
Hungary NB III
1-1 3-3 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Budaorsi SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunaharaszti MTK win (49%). Probabilities: Dunaharaszti MTK 49%, draw 23%, Budaorsi SC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Budaorsi SC?

The model expects 4.03 goals (Dunaharaszti MTK 2.3 · Budaorsi SC 1.73), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Budaorsi SC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.